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Forex Analysis for XAU/USD

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Gold 09.20.2019 - Breakout is on the way
Gold 09.20.2019 - Breakout is on the way
Relevance up to 15:00 2019-09-22 UTC+2 Gold continues to trade sideways at the price of $1,500 and there is potential for breakout very soon. Gold might need fundamental trigger for the next directional movement.. Blue horizontal line – Swing high (Right shoulder) Red rectangle – Upward target in ....
9
Unstable equilibrium in the markets, USDCAD tends to grow, USD JPY loses momentum
Unstable equilibrium in the markets, USDCAD tends to grow, USD JPY loses momentum
Relevance up to 09:00 2019-09-22 UTC+2 Oil prices are stable after the shocks of September 14. The threat of rising risks in the Middle East remains hypothetical and does not have a noticeable effect on quotes. On the other hand, gold is trading in the range, while there is no news about changes ....
14
Trading plan for Gold for September 20, 2019
Trading plan for Gold for September 20, 2019
Relevance up to 13:00 2019-09-22 UTC+2 Technical outlook:Gold prices dropped from $1,557 through $1,480/82 levels earlier in 5 waves, labelled as (1) on the charts here. The subsequent consolidation could be a potential A-B-C, out of which Waves A and B terminated at $1,524/25 and $1,483 respectiv....
10
After the Fed: Gold bulls lie in wait, 1,440/50 of interest
Source: Economic Events September 20, 2019 - Admiral Markets' Forex Calendar While Gold didn't take on further bullish momentum after the Fed rate decision on Wednesday, instead stabilised below 1,500 USD, our middle-term bullish outlook stays intact.With a thin economic calendar into the weekly clo...
7
Forex Technical Analysis & Forecast 20.09.2019 (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCHF, USDJPY, AUDUSD, USDRUB, USDCAD, GOLD, BRENT, BTCUSD)
Forex Technical Analysis & Forecast 20.09.2019 (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCHF, USDJPY, AUDUSD, USDRUB, USDCAD, GOLD, BRENT, BTCUSD)
20.09.2019EURUSD, “Euro vs US Dollar”EURUSD is consolidating around 1.1040. Possibly, the pair may choose an alternative scenario and grow towards 1.1080. According to the main scenario, the price is expected to continue trading inside the downtrend with the target at 1.0985.GBPUSD, “Great Britain P...
4
Gold 09.19.2019 - Do we have valid HSS pattern or fake one?
Gold 09.19.2019 - Do we have valid HSS pattern or fake one?
Relevance up to 14:00 2019-09-20 UTC+2 Gold continues to trade sideways at the price of $1,500 and there is potential for breakout very soon. Gold might need fundamental trigger for the next directional movement.. Blue horizontal line – Swing high (Right shoulder) Red rectangle – Upward target in ....
4
Gold missed a blow from the Fed
Gold missed a blow from the Fed
Long-term review The Fed will resort to aggressive monetary expansion if things get worse with the announcement by Jerome Powell that the US economy is doing well and also the federal funds rate is down from 2.25% to 2% for preventive purposes. This has made a wicked golden joke. If in 2014-2018,....
3
The Fed does not have confidence in the correctness of its decisions, both EUR/USD and GBP/USD pairs are trading in the range
The Fed does not have confidence in the correctness of its decisions, both EUR/USD and GBP/USD pairs are trading in the range
Relevance up to 09:00 2019-09-21 UTC+2 At the meeting that ended on Wednesday, the Fed reduced the target range by 0.25% to 1.75-2.00% in full accordance with forecasts and keeping macroeconomic forecasts for GDP, unemployment, and inflation virtually unchanged. The accompanying commentary also d....
3
Japanese Candlesticks Analysis 19.09.2019 (GOLD, NZDUSD)
Japanese Candlesticks Analysis 19.09.2019 (GOLD, NZDUSD)
19.09.2019XAUUSD, “Gold vs US Dollar”As we can see in the H4 chart, the ascending tendency continues. XAUUSD has formed another reversal pattern, Hammer, close to the channel’s downside border. Right now, the pair is trying to reverse. If the pair rebounds, it may move towards 1525.00. At the same t...
4
Forex Technical Analysis & Forecast 19.09.2019 (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCHF, USDJPY, AUDUSD, USDRUB, USDCAD, GOLD, BRENT, BTCUSD)
Forex Technical Analysis & Forecast 19.09.2019 (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCHF, USDJPY, AUDUSD, USDRUB, USDCAD, GOLD, BRENT, BTCUSD)
19.09.2019EURUSD, “Euro vs US Dollar”EURUSD has broken 1.1040 by completing the second descending impulse; right now, it is still moving downwards. Today, the pair may form the third impulse to reach 1.1006 and then resume growing with the target at 1.1040.GBPUSD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”G...
9
Murrey Math Lines 19.09.2019 (USDCHF, GOLD)
Murrey Math Lines 19.09.2019 (USDCHF, GOLD)
19.09.2019USDCHF, “US Dollar vs Swiss Franc”In the H4 chart, USDCHF is consolidating. In this case, the price is expected to continue growing towards the resistance at 5/8. However, this scenario may no longer be valid if the price breaks 3/8 to the downside. After that, the instrument may continue ...
5
Gold 09.18.2019 - Failed HSS pattern or real? Watch for the breakout
Gold 09.18.2019 -  Failed HSS pattern or real? Watch for the breakout
Relevance up to 16:00 2019-09-19 UTC+2 Gold has been trading sideways at the price of $1,500 for few days and in mu opinion Gold might need fundamental trigger for the next directional movement. Be prepared for both scenarios. Today is FOMC day and I give equal chances for both sides.Blue horizont....
3
Forex Technical Analysis & Forecast 18.09.2019 (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCHF, USDJPY, AUDUSD, USDRUB, USDCAD, GOLD, BRENT, BTCUSD)
18.09.2019EURUSD, “Euro vs US Dollar”EURUSD has completed the ascending structure at 1.1074; right now, it is consolidating. Possibly, the pair may move downwards to reach 1.1050. Later, the market may grow towards 1.1084 and then resume trading downwards with the target at 1.1034.GBPUSD, “Great Bri...
6
Oil flies into the stratosphere
Oil flies into the stratosphere
Long-term review Attacks on tankers in the Persian Gulf and a downed American drone are children's toys compared to the attack on Abqaiq, the world's largest oil refinery in Saudi Arabia, through which about 7 million b/d passes. Brent and WTI have responded with the largest daily rally in histor....
2
Activity in the foreign exchange market decreases before the Fed meeting on monetary policy (We consider it possible to buy the EUR/USD pair with a decrease in the range and expect the AUD/USD pair to continue to fall)
Activity in the foreign exchange market decreases before the Fed meeting on monetary policy (We consider it possible to buy the EUR/USD pair with a decrease in the range and expect the AUD/USD pair to continue to fall)
Long-term review Attack by opponent drones of Riyadh to oil refineries had a limited impact on the foreign exchange market. The local surge in demand for defensive assets, including the Japanese yen, the Swiss franc, gold and government bonds of economically developed countries, was limited since....
10
Forex Technical Analysis & Forecast 17.09.2019 (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCHF, USDJPY, AUDUSD, USDRUB, USDCAD, GOLD, BRENT, BTCUSD)
Forex Technical Analysis & Forecast 17.09.2019 (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCHF, USDJPY, AUDUSD, USDRUB, USDCAD, GOLD, BRENT, BTCUSD)
17.09.2019EURUSD, “Euro vs US Dollar”EURUSD is moving upwards to reach 1.1024. Later, the market may fall towards 1.1009 and then continue trading upwards with the first target at 1.1055.GBPUSD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”GBPUSD is also moving upwards to reach 1.2452. After that, the instrume...
9
An attack by Saudi to oil fields risks igniting a fire in the Middle East (We sell USD/JPY and USD/CAD pairs amid a possible escalation of the conflict between Saudi Arabia and Iran)
An attack by Saudi to oil fields risks igniting a fire in the Middle East (We sell USD/JPY and USD/CAD pairs amid a possible escalation of the conflict between Saudi Arabia and Iran)
Relevance up to 11:00 2019-09-18 UTC+2 The unexpected news that oil facilities had been attacked by drones in Saudi Arabia set in motion the previously consolidated crude oil price range. Quotations of "black gold" soared by 10% at the moment and although they partially rolled back down after tha....
6
Review of EUR / USD and GBP / USD pairs on 09.16.2019: Aggravation of the oil wars
Review of EUR / USD and GBP / USD pairs on 09.16.2019: Aggravation of the oil wars
Relevance up to 21:00 UTC+2 Everyone now talks about an unprecedented attack on the oil refineries in Saudi Arabia. As a result, the kingdom reduced the volume of black gold production by at least half. Everything is quite simple with the guilt since the Yemeni Hussites immediately took responsib....
5
Drone attack and rising oil prices will not help NZD and AUD, correctional impulse is close to exhaustion
Drone attack and rising oil prices will not help NZD and AUD, correctional impulse is close to exhaustion
Relevance up to 08:00 2019-09-18 UTC+2 An attack by kamikaze drones at the world's largest oil refinery in Saudi Arabia led to an increase in oil prices by more than 10% since almost half of the Saudi capacities were out of order. It will take weeks to recover and considerably this event is the ....
3
Forecast for EUR/USD on September 16, 2019
Forecast for EUR/USD on September 16, 2019
Relevance up to 06:00 2019-09-17 UTC+2 EUR/USD On Friday and this Monday morning, the euro lingered on the resistance of the balance line and the Fibonacci level of 123.6% of the daily scale. The euro is still calm about the price growth of oil and gold this morning due to an attack by drones on....
2
Japanese Candlesticks Analysis 16.09.2019 (GOLD, NZDUSD)
Japanese Candlesticks Analysis 16.09.2019 (GOLD, NZDUSD)
16.09.2019XAUUSD, “Gold vs US Dollar”As we can see in the H4 chart, the ascending tendency continues. XAUUSD has formed another reversal pattern, Hammer, close to the channel’s downside border. Right now, the pair is trying to reverse. If the pair rebounds, it may move towards 1525.00. At the same t...
4
Fibonacci Retracements Analysis 16.09.2019 (GOLD, USDCHF)
Fibonacci Retracements Analysis 16.09.2019 (GOLD, USDCHF)
16.09.2019XAUUSD, “Gold vs US Dollar”As we can see in the H4 chart, after reaching 38.2% fibo, XAUUSD has returned to 23.6% fibo. The current movement may be considered as a short-term correction before a new descending wave. The next downside targets may be 50.0%, 61.8%, and 76.0% fibo at 1478.60, ...
8
Forex Technical Analysis & Forecast 16.09.2019 (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCHF, USDJPY, AUDUSD, USDRUB, USDCAD, GOLD, BRENT, BTCUSD)
Forex Technical Analysis & Forecast 16.09.2019 (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCHF, USDJPY, AUDUSD, USDRUB, USDCAD, GOLD, BRENT, BTCUSD)
16.09.2019EURUSD, “Euro vs US Dollar”EURUSD is consolidating around 1.1062. Today, the pair may fall towards 1.1057 and then grow to break 1.1111. Later, the market may continue trading upwards with the target at 1.1200.GBPUSD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”After completing the ascending wave at...
9
Financial Apocalypse 2019-2020
Financial Apocalypse 2019-2020
Waiting for a Financial End of the World The world has frozen in anticipation of the global financial crisis. Some analysts predict its onset in the coming months, others give a delay until the end of 2020 - the beginning of 2021. But both draw quite apocalyptic pictures. The collapse in oil, coppe....
3
US Retail Sales to be a trigger from the Fed, to push Gold next week?
Source: Economic Events September 13, 2019 - Admiral Markets' Forex Calendar With the continuous signs over the last few days that the US and China are set to return to negotiating on trade, 10-year US Treasury yields kept on bouncing from their lows of around 1.5%, while Gold saw a corrective move ...
8
Forex Technical Analysis & Forecast 13.09.2019 (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCHF, USDJPY, AUDUSD, USDRUB, USDCAD, GOLD, BRENT, BTCUSD)
Forex Technical Analysis & Forecast 13.09.2019 (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCHF, USDJPY, AUDUSD, USDRUB, USDCAD, GOLD, BRENT, BTCUSD)
13.09.2019EURUSD, “Euro vs US Dollar”After finishing the descending wave at 1.0927 and almost forming Double Bottom pattern, EURUSD has completed the ascending impulse towards 1.1085; right now, it is consolidating around 1.1056. If later the price breaks this range to the upside, the instrument may...
7
Gold gets rejected at important short-term resistance
Gold gets rejected at important short-term resistance
Relevance up to 23:00 2019-09-14 UTC+2 In our last analysis, we expected Gold price to bounce and maybe start a new upward move that could bring us to new 2019 highs. However for this scenario to happen we noted that a certain resistance would have to break first. I said that the bullish scenario ....
9
Gold 09.12.2019 - Strong rejection of the resistance cluster at $1,518, more downside yet to come
Gold 09.12.2019 - Strong rejection of the resistance cluster at $1,518, more downside yet to come
Relevance up to 05:00 2019-09-13 UTC+2 Gold did exactly what I expected yesterday and our upward target at the price of $1,518 has been reached. I found strong reaction from sellers of the key resistance at $1,518, which is sign that new down wave is possible and re-test of $1,483.Red rectangle – ....
3
Murrey Math Lines 12.09.2019 (USDCHF, GOLD)
Murrey Math Lines 12.09.2019 (USDCHF, GOLD)
12.09.2019USDCHF, “US Dollar vs Swiss Franc”In the H4 chart, USDCHF is expected to test the resistance at 3/8, rebound from it, and then resume falling towards the support at 1/8. However, this scenario may no longer be valid if the price breaks 3/8 to the upside. After that, the instrument may cont...
5
Forex Technical Analysis & Forecast 12.09.2019 (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCHF, USDJPY, AUDUSD, USDRUB, USDCAD, GOLD, BRENT, BTCUSD)
Forex Technical Analysis & Forecast 12.09.2019 (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCHF, USDJPY, AUDUSD, USDRUB, USDCAD, GOLD, BRENT, BTCUSD)
12.09.2019EURUSD, “Euro vs US Dollar”EURUSD has broken the consolidation range to the upside; right now, it is trading to return to 1.1015. After that, the instrument may continue falling to reach 1.0980. The key downside target is at 1.0864.GBPUSD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”GBPUSD is consol...
7
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