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Brent saddled geopolitics
Brent saddled geopolitics
Markets can be punished for conceit. For a long time, investors ignored geopolitical risks and were confident that the North Sea grade of oil would be quoted within the range of $40-60 per barrel for long term. The is because the prices increased above the resistance level that will probably increas...
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Global macro overview for 17/10/2017:
Global macro overview for 17/10/2017:
Global macro overview for 17/10/2017:A surprising information on the Brexit negotiations is attacking the financial markets every day now. On Monday, the Pound went through a moment of increased volatility after reports that negotiations were heading for a "catastrophic collapse" unless the EU agree...
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Global macro overview for 17/10/2017:
Global macro overview for 17/10/2017:
Global macro overview for 17/10/2017:According to the Minutes, the RBA members noted that the Australian economy had grown by 0.8% in the June quarter, in line with the Bank's forecast. Growth in consumption and the contribution from net exports had been higher than in the March quarter, partly refl...
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Fundamental Analysis of GBP/USD for October 17, 2017
Fundamental Analysis of GBP/USD for October 17, 2017
GBP/USD has been quite bearish recently after bouncing off the resistance area of 1.3270-1.3330. GBP has been quite weak in nature recently due to the Brexit effect but PM May recently spoke about positive results in Brexit talks that did not quite help the currency to gain momentum. Today, a series...
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Mark Carney takes the floor
Mark Carney takes the floor
On October 17, both the major currency pairs of euro and pound is likely to trade within the range but the performance of Mark Carney in the Treasury poses a risk.EUR / USD and GBP / USD pairsEurope and the British pound stayed within the range predicted in the expectations of an important news on M...
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The absence of rising inflation in the euro area will push the euro downwards
The absence of rising inflation in the euro area will push the euro downwards
Today, the entire attention of the markets will focus on the data output of the eurozone's consumer inflation. This is a very important data that will fully influence the ECB's decision whether to continue buying government bonds in the current monthly volume of $60 billion or not.In accordance with...
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The US dollar continues to rise
The US dollar continues to rise
The Australian dollar reacted with restraint to the publication of the minutes from the last meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia, because traders did not find anything new to radically affect the situation. According to the data, members of the RBA board are confident that the economic conditio...
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Today is Mark Carney's Day
Today is Mark Carney's Day
In general, the market remained fairly stable yesterday as expected, this is mostly because of the empty macroeconomic calendar. We are expecting for a much more intense day for today.Initially, the British inflation data is scheduled to be released, with an expectation to accelerate from 2.9% to 3....
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The pound took poison
The pound took poison
The British pound managed to grow against the US dollar by the end of the week of October 13. This success could be more significant than it turned out. The uncertainty surrounding the negotiations on Brexit and the future of Theresa May as the head of the conservative party and as prime minister re...
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The export of the eurozone is in order
The export of the eurozone is in order
The euro managed to return a number of positions in relation to the US dollar after the release of good data on the growth of exports of goods from the eurozone in August this year. The absence of other important macroeconomic statistics forced large investors to refrain from further buying the US d...
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Fundamental Analysis of USD/JPY for October 16, 2017
Fundamental Analysis of USD/JPY for October 16, 2017
USD/JPY has been quite bearish recently after bouncing off 113.00-40 resistance area. After the dovish FOMC Meeting last week and recent worse economic reports from the US, JPY has gained notably against USD recently. Yellen recently stated that low inflation effected the growth of USD, so December ...
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Fundamental Analysis of EUR/USD for October 16, 2017
Fundamental Analysis of EUR/USD for October 16, 2017
After a bullish bias, EUR/USD has been trading in a range after rejecting off the 1.1870 resistance area. The USD weakened last week as FOMC failed to provide detailed information and recent economic data from the US was quite disappointing which made the bulls take over the bears. On the other hand...
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Global macro overview for 16/10/2017:
Global macro overview for 16/10/2017:
Global macro overview for 16/10/2017:Potential renewed US nuclear sanctions against Iran, as well as the conflict in Iraq, are currently supporting the prices of Crude Oil. Last Friday, the Trump administration refused to certify, that Iran is complying with the requirements agreed during 2015 meeti...
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Global macro overview for 16/10/2017
Global macro overview for 16/10/2017
Global macro overview for 16/10/2017:The CPI inflation in the US increased slightly to 2.2% in September from 1.9% in August. Core inflation, excluding food and energy prices, remained at 1.7% on a yearly basis. Within a month, the overall CPI rose by 0.5%, reflecting a significant increase in fuel ...
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Catalonia has slowed down the dollar
The dollar failed to continue its strengthening, and it had to seriously give up its position. Partly this was due to a decrease in fears about Catalonia, as there is a feeling that Madrid and Barcelona will find a peaceful solution to the issue. At the same time, the effect was so strong that even ...
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The dollar fell, but growth perspectives persist
The dollar fell, but growth perspectives persist
Despite the fact that on Friday, there were data on consumer inflation in the US that is not in line with expectations which can be characterized as ambiguous, the Fed still has the opportunity to raise interest rates, the third time this year. According to the published data, the consumer price ind...
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Spain requires a specific response from Catalonia
Spain requires a specific response from Catalonia
A number of political events and statements by the head of the European Central Bank made at the end of last week continue to exert pressure on the euro.The US dollar fell against the euro at the beginning of the US session on Friday after weak inflation data. This disagreed with the economists' for...
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Concentration of forces before the new week
Concentration of forces before the new week
EUR / USD, GBP / USDThe US economic indicators on Friday came out optimistic which was reflected in the strengthening of the dollar, in relation to euro only. The British pound and commodity currencies slightly strengthened. Retail sales in the US for September increased by 1.6%, the base sales inde...
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Temporary weakness of the dollar
Temporary weakness of the dollar
Friday brought a few positive news to the dollar at once. Retail sales in September rose by 1.6%. This growth was the highest since March 2015, which contributed to the elimination of the effects of hurricanes and the associated increased demand for cars and building materials.The rise in energy pri...
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The euro and the pound will continue to decline
The euro and the pound will continue to decline
EurozoneThe growth of industrial production in the eurozone increased in August by 1.4% compared to July, an annual growth rate of 3.8%, and the highest level growth rate over the past nine years. Strong data has been expected by the market. Currently the focus is on the ECB meeting on October 26, w...
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The dollar is betting on the hawks
The dollar is betting on the hawks
Bulls and bears in the EUR/USD decided to declare a truce. Each of the opponents tries to gain time. Euro buyers expect a solution to the conflict over Catalonia, where all the dogs, it seems, have decided to depend on to President Carles Puigdemont. Withdrawal from the shadow of political risks wil...
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Real indicators are more relevant than distant plans
Real indicators are more relevant than distant plans
EUR / USD, GBP / USDThe highest volatility on Thursday showed the British pound fell by 140 points and jumped to 160 points. Furthermore, the entire movements are connected with the statements of politicians. First, Michel Bernier, EU's chief Brexit negotiator, mentioned about another slowdown of ne...
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Inflationary dollar turn
Inflationary dollar turn
Today, the inflation data from the U.S. should remove all questions about the Fed's refinancing rate increase in December which could lead to a long process of strengthening the dollar. Yesterday, the single European currency almost completely fulfilled all the forecasts and became cheaper against t...
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Global macro overview for 13/10/2017
Global macro overview for 13/10/2017
Global macro overview for 13/10/2017:Jean Claude Juncker, the President of European Commission, says the Brexit process will take longer than the UK expected. After another week of negotiations, the orginal Brexit deadline of April 2019 is still out of reach as both parties are still unable to find ...
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Global macro overview for 13/10/2017
Global macro overview for 13/10/2017
Global macro overview for 13/10/2017:According to economists, the candidates are: current Chairperson Janet Yellen, Vice President Jerome Powell, Chief Economic Officer Gary Cohn and Kevin Warsh. Not putting too much emphasis on the topic, among the four nominees, Janet Yellen is considered the most...
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Oil can continue to grow
Oil can continue to grow
Raw currencies ignored weak data from China. Today, it became known that exports from China grew in September this year but, it turned out to be worse than the forecasts of economists. According to the data of the China Customs, exports in September increased by 8.1% in 2017 compared to the same per...
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Fundamental Analysis of AUD/JPY for October 13, 2017
Fundamental Analysis of AUD/JPY for October 13, 2017
AUD/JPY has been quite corrective in nature showing some bullish gains recently towards the 88.00 resistance level. AUD has been quite positive with the economic reports recently which helped the currency to gain some momentum against JPY in last few days. JPY has also been very positive with the ec...
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Fundamental Analysis of EUR/AUD for October 13, 2017
Fundamental Analysis of EUR/AUD for October 13, 2017
EUR/AUD recently broke above the 1.5050-75 support area which is being retested currently. EUR has been quite strong in light of economic reports that has led to further gains of EUR against AUD. Recently, amid positive results of Australia's economic reports some bearish impulsive pressure can be o...
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Positive news from the US will support the dollar
Positive news from the US will support the dollar
The US dollar has all the chances to resume the interrupted growth on the background of positive data on consumer inflation, the more publicized on Thursday, the values of the producer price index (PPI) were higher than the forecast. Yesterday, data on manufacturing inflation in the US were publishe...
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The pound began to get cheaper ahead of time
The pound began to get cheaper ahead of time
Surprisingly good data on industrial production in Europe helped the euro to withstand the market, in contrast to the pound. The growth rate of industrial production did not slow down, as expected, but accelerated to 3.8%. Moreover, the previous data was revised upwards from 3.2% to 3.6%.The pound i...
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