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Oil, NAFTA, trade wars: any chances for the CAD?
Oil, NAFTA, trade wars: any chances for the CAD?
In recent weeks, the Canadian dollar has been highly volatile. The currency was recognized as the worst-performing Group-of-10 currency in the first quarter. The unstable oil market, the unsolved NAFTA deal, and continuing trade wars put a great pressure on the loonie. Let’s take a closer look at th...
7
В условиях торговой войны инвесторы выбирают доллар
В условиях торговой войны инвесторы выбирают доллар
The US dollar is again beginning to increase its pressure on the currency markets. And there are a number of reasons for this.The introduction of new trade duties on imports of steel and aluminum from Europe, Canada and Mexico by the United States today, as announced on Thursday, clearly shows that ...
5
Fundamental Analysis of USD/CHF for June 1, 2018
Fundamental Analysis of USD/CHF for June 1, 2018
USD/CHF has been quite impressive inside the the bearish bias recently after being rejected off the 1.0035 area with a daily close. Ahead of the upcoming high impact US economic reports to be published today, the market is currently quite indecisive and volatile at the edge of 0.9850 area.Today, US ...
2
Global macro overview for 01/06/2018
Global macro overview for 01/06/2018
HICP inflation in Eurozone accelerated from 1.2% to 1.9% on a yearly basis, strongly defeating the market consensus of 1.6%. What's more, core inflation jumped from 0.7 to 1.1% y/y. Such a scenario hung in the air after yesterday's data from Germany and earlier readings, among others from France, wh...
0
Traders are waiting for data on Non-Farm Employment
Traders are waiting for data on Non-Farm Employment
Good data on the US economy that was released on Thursday afternoon, supported the US dollar.According to a report by the US Department of Labor, the number of Americans who applied for unemployment benefits last week fell significantly.Thus, the number of initial applications for unemployment benef...
1
Global macro overview for 01/06/2018
Global macro overview for 01/06/2018
US Minister of Trade Wilbur Ross declared on Thursday that his country imposes a 25% steel and 10% duty customs duties on aluminum for the European Union, Canada and Mexico. Tariffs will apply from midnight on Friday time in the US. President Donald Trump originally announced the introduction of ret...
0
Euro under crossfire
Euro under crossfire
EUR / USD The main event yesterday was the announcement of the White House about the final decision to impose "militant" duties on steel (25%) and aluminum (10%) against the EU, Mexico and Canada. For the EU, this is the volume of goods at 6.4 billion euros. The effect of these duties comes from tod...
0
British Pound: bearish trend continues
British Pound: bearish trend continues
GBP / USDUnder the influence of external factors, the British pound rose by 60 points yesterday, but it almost returned to its starting position in the second half of the day due to pressure of good US economic indicators and the expected positive US labor data. The dollar index was down to 0.1% yes...
1
"The Australian" completed the May correction
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AUD / USD As predicted earlier, the optimism of Australian investors turned out to be premature and excessive. As of yesterday, the Australian dollar also went down against the background of the decline in the US dollar index by 0.1%. The reason for this was the decline in raw material prices and we...
2
The movement of the euro depends on inflation data
The movement of the euro depends on inflation data
The European currency continued its growth in the afternoon on Wednesday, after a weak report on the growth of the US economy, as well as a decrease in political tension in Italy.As it became known yesterday, the Italian "Five-Star Movement" refused to put Eurosceptic Paolo Savona as Italy's Ministe...
2
Euro and pound get to important levels
Euro and pound get to important levels
The European currency continued to rise against the US dollar in the first half of the day on Thursday, but then lost its position amid a good report on the labor market in the US.A good result is an increase in inflation in France in May this year, which exceeded all forecasts of economists, helped...
1
The Canadian dollar is losing ground after a sharp rise
The Canadian dollar is losing ground after a sharp rise
The Canadian dollar rose sharply against the US dollar after the Bank of Canada left the target value of the one-day interest rate unchanged, which reduced some of the tension among market participants who feared that the regulator could lower interest rates or hint at a milder monetary policy in th...
0
Fundamental Analysis of GBP/JPY for May 31, 2018
Fundamental Analysis of GBP/JPY for May 31, 2018
GBP/JPY has been quite impressive with the recent bullish gains which lead the price to reside above 145.00 area after being impulsively bearish with a break. GBP has been struggling for gains against JPY whereas recent JPY economic reports helped GBP to gain certain momentum for a while.Today, Japa...
1
The dollar fell on hopes that the US and PRC will agree
The dollar fell on hopes that the US and PRC will agree
The dollar fell on hopes that the US and PRC will agree.The US dollar fell under "distribution" on Wednesday on a wave of several reasons, which became the reason for profit taking after the resumption of the rally.It all started with the morning news that a new American delegation of negotiators wi...
0
The Euro will finally get a chance
The Euro will finally get a chance
EurozoneOn Wednesday, the focus was on data on consumer inflation. An unexpected result of the price dynamics in the US and Germany provoked a correction in the euro.The first data came from retail sales in Germany for the month of April, which turned out to be unexpectedly strong at 2.3% up against...
1
The dollar weakened the grip
The dollar weakened the grip
EUR / USD The struggle for the formation of an interim government continues in Italy (the "5 star" party convinces Paolo Savona, who was nominated by the president for the post of Minister of Finance, to give up the job for the formation of the government), while investors managed to work out unfavo...
0
Global macro overview for 31/05/2018
Global macro overview for 31/05/2018
The Bank of Canada kept interest rates at the current level (1.25%), but the prospects for future tightening were outlined in a more pronounced language. The Bank of Canada removed "cautious" from the monetary policy statement, suggesting a slightly less data-dependent approach to policy normalizati...
1
Global macro overview for 31/05/2018
Global macro overview for 31/05/2018
The ADP Non-Farm Employment Change data published yesterday had indicated, that in May in the private sector of the American economy, the number of jobs increased by 178,000. That's less than the consensus (190,000), but still a decent figure. At the same time, the previous reading has been revised ...
0
Fundamental Analysis of AUD/JPY for May 31, 2018
Fundamental Analysis of AUD/JPY for May 31, 2018
AUD/JPY has been quite impulsive with the bullish gains recently, after bouncing off the 80.50-81.50 support area with a daily close. After being in a volatile and corrective structure with bearish squeeze along the way, certain bullish engulfing pattern does indicate the upcoming strong bullish pre...
0
Pound balances on data for England and the US
Pound balances on data for England and the US
GBP / USDAccording to the UK, there was no news on Wednesday and the pound sterling was quite calm watching the correction of the dollar, as the US dollar index dropped 0.81% and the pound added 38 points. Expectations on the economic data of Britain for today can be determined moderately optimistic...
1
How quickly will the yen's growth recover?
How quickly will the yen's growth recover?
USD / JPY Political turmoil in Europe and Asia was quieted down a bit yesterday, which supported the Japanese yen to increase by 16 points. The US stock index S & P500 added 1.27% yesterday, but it was only the first day of growth after the decline in the previous week. So the market does not ye...
0
Gold as an anti-dollar
Gold as an anti-dollar
Gold shows mixed dynamics amid the interaction of many "bullish" factors with a strong US dollar. The fastest decline in the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds since mid-2016, the fall in the likelihood of four federal funds rate hikes in 2018 from more than 50% to 23%, a correction in the US stock mar...
1
Euro buyers are looking for any excuse
Euro buyers are looking for any excuse
Good data on inflation in Germany, as well as statements by the Italian president on the formation of the government, supported the buyers of the European currency, which led to a good upward correction in risky assets, allowing them to return to yesterday's highs paired with the US dollar.Today, It...
1
Fundamental Analysis of EUR/AUD for May 30, 2018
Fundamental Analysis of EUR/AUD for May 30, 2018
EUR/AUD is still trading in a non-volatile manner in the bearish bias since it broke below 1.5750 area with a daily close. There has not been much of a pullback throughout the momentum which indicates the impulsive pressure AUD have over EUR for a while.After the recent ECB Monetary Policy Meeting A...
4
Review of GBP / USD pair as of 05/30/2018
Review of GBP / USD pair as of 05/30/2018
The pound continued to lose its position relative to the dollar, and the reason was the statements of George Soros. The world-famous investor predicted a new economic crisis, which, in his opinion, would make Europe the worst. After the international media spread his words, the dollar began to appre...
1
Overview of EUR / USD pair as of May 30, 2013
Overview of EUR / USD pair as of May 30, 2013
Soros' statement that a new economic crisis is coming, which Europe will suffer the most, provoked the panic fall of the single European currency. However, we did not see the kickback, which should have occurred after such statements. In the case of statistics, this confirmed the justification for s...
1
Fundamental Analysis of USD/CAD for May 30, 2018
Fundamental Analysis of USD/CAD for May 30, 2018
USD/CAD recently broke above 1.2950 resistance area with a daily close after impulsive bullish non-volatile pressure. This week is going to be quite volatile and interesting for this pair as high impact economic reports and events are going to be held in the US and Canada this week, including CAD Ov...
1
Global macro overview for 30/05/2018
Global macro overview for 30/05/2018
Unfortunately, we can not see the end of the political crisis in Italy so far. The nominee Prime Minister Carlo Cottarelli has not presented the composition of his temporary government to the president. In addition, there is a risk that the technical government will not receive a vote of confidence ...
0
Fundamental Analysis of GBP/USD for May 30, 2018
Fundamental Analysis of GBP/USD for May 30, 2018
GBP/USD has been quite non-volatile within the bearish bias recently which led the price to reside below 1.3300 area. Ahead of the upcoming high impact economic reports from the US, certain bearish impulsive pressure indicates the definite trend pressure in the pair.Today, the UK BRC Shop Price Inde...
1
Trade relations between China and the US are again under threat of disruption
Trade relations between China and the US are again under threat of disruption
The US dollar strengthened on Tuesday and in the afternoon after the release of optimistic data on US consumer confidence, but the risk of trade agreement disruption between the US and China again made investors pay attention to the assets of the refugee, primarily towards the Japanese yen.According...
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