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Global macro overview for 14/08/2018
Global macro overview for 14/08/2018
Elon Musk revealed a bit more details about the plan to buy Tesla from the stock exchange. Changing the company's status from a public company to a private company is to be realized without using a loan, and the promised 420 dollars. No investor will be entitled to the campaign - it results from the...
1
Markets took a break
Markets took a break
After the growth of demand last week for defensive assets and, as a consequence, for the US dollar, on Monday, this trend has stopped. Investors assess the prospects of the crisis of the Turkish economy and the degree of the negative impact of the trade war between the US and China.Last week, the co...
2
Will the GBP beat the USD or the EUR?
Will the GBP beat the USD or the EUR?
Increased worries about the no-deal Brexit pulled the pound down. GBP/USD reached lows of June 2017, the EUR/GBP pair rose to highs of October 2017. However, recently the situation at markets significantly changed. US-Turkey disputes escalated and the Turkish lira significantly plunged. Has all this...
0
Fundamental Analysis of USD/CAD for August 14, 2018
Fundamental Analysis of USD/CAD for August 14, 2018
USD/CAD had been quite volatile until it breached above 1.3050 with a daily close. The price is currently retracing to retest the resistance as support. USD has been quite impulsive with the recent gains which lead CAD to lose some grounds in the process despite better-than-expected economic reports...
2
Fundamental Analysis of GBP/USD for August 14, 2018
Fundamental Analysis of GBP/USD for August 14, 2018
GBP/USD has been quite non-volatile with the bearish trend earlier which has led the price to reside below 1.2850 support area with a daily close. Ahead of the GBP and USD high impact economic reports this week, certain volatility is expected in this pair for the coming days.Today GBP Average Earnin...
2
The pound went down
The pound went down
Despite the increase in the REPO rate to 0.75% in the monetary policy normalization cycle and the acceleration of the British economy from 0.2% in the first quarter to 0.4% q/q in the second quarter, the sterling is the worst performer among the G10 currencies in the previous three months. Its losse...
1
Will gold’s downtrend end?
Will gold’s downtrend end?
In the recent days, the US dollar index reached the highs of July 2017. It’s not a surprise that other assets significantly depreciated against the USD. Gold isn’t an exception. The downward trend of XAU/USD has been continuing since the middle of April 2018. It seemed an escalation of the trade war...
3
Global macro overview for 13/08/2018
Global macro overview for 13/08/2018
The organization associating heads of human resources departments in British companies informed on Monday that the decrease in the number of migrants coming to the UK with the EU caused by next year's Brexit, deepened the problems of employers with finding appropriate employees.The Chartered Institu...
2
Global macro overview for 13/08/2018
Global macro overview for 13/08/2018
In the statement released this morning, the Turkish monetary authorities have announced the announcement of several activities that have one goal - to calm the situation around the domestic banking system and restore confidence in the lira. The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey announced, among...
3
Pound and the euro will continue to decline
Pound and the euro will continue to decline
The growth of consumer prices in June in the US amounted to 0.2%, this result was 1 point higher than the June value and coincided with the forecasts. Inflation growth at an annualized rate of 2.94%, at first glance, such a trend should be considered positive amid expectations of an increase in the ...
7
Trump's actions could lead to financial crisis in Turkey
Trump's actions could lead to financial crisis in Turkey
The US dollar continued to strengthen its positions against the euro and other risky assets amid the new statements made by US President Donald Trump regarding Turkey, as well as the actions of the European Central Bank.Inflation data in the US, which grew in July this year, had a positive effect on...
2
Will Turkish lira keep falling?
Will Turkish lira keep falling?
USD/TRY opened the week with the gap up and rose to a new record high abive 7.00. The lira made another leap down as Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said on Sunday that he was against interest rate increases and that Turkey is in an “economic war.” He also claimed that an agreement with the I...
4
Malaysian ringgit: no chances to recover?
Malaysian ringgit: no chances to recover?
Today we will have a look at the currency of the third-largest Southeast Asian economy – Malaysian ringgit. The ringgit as all emerging market currencies suffers a great depreciation because of the strong US dollar. On August 10, the USD set new highs at levels of July 2017. As a result, most of the...
2
The dollar has every chance to continue the rally
The dollar has every chance to continue the rally
The results of last week showed the correctness of our view of the developing events around the trade wars and their positive impact on the US dollar rate.Earlier, we repeatedly pointed out that keeping the Fed rate for the continuation of the cycle of raising interest rates and, in fact, the absenc...
0
Fundamental Analysis of USD/JPY for August 13, 2018
Fundamental Analysis of USD/JPY for August 13, 2018
USD/JPY has been quite impulsive with the bearish momentum recently which lead the price to open below 110.50 today. As the break below 110.50 was with a gap, the breakout cannot be taken as optimum for further bearish pressure in the pair.This week JPY Trade Balance report is going to be published ...
0
Fundamental Analysis of EUR/USD for August 13, 2018
Fundamental Analysis of EUR/USD for August 13, 2018
EUR/USD has recently broken below the important price area of 1.15 with a strong daily close which does indicate further bearish momentum in the pair for the coming days. While EURO struggling with the recent economic, political, trade war and Brexit tensions, USD has been meeting expectations which...
2
The dollar should increase pressure on foreign exchange markets
The dollar should increase pressure on foreign exchange markets
The US dollar strengthens pressure on Friday morning on a wave of rising risks for the global economy.The euro falls because of the pressure of the Turkish lira that has collapsed. In addition, the approaching date on August 23, when the new US sanctions against China enters into force, frighten mar...
10
Global macro overview for 10/08/2018
Global macro overview for 10/08/2018
The Canadian Dollar has had a roller coaster ride due to oil, after Saudi Arabia comments and leaks from NAFTA negotiations. A lot of confusion arose from the information that as a result of a diplomatic dispute between Canada and Saudi Arabia (Prime Minister Trudeau criticized the arrest of a Saudi...
0
Global macro overview for 10/08/2018
Global macro overview for 10/08/2018
NZD/USD is the lowest since March 2016 after the RBNZ yesterday gave a clear justification for such a reaction. We were given a downward revision of the growth forecast, a reduced path for the OCR rate (forecast for an increase postponed by half a year for the third quarter of 2020), and the scenari...
0
Fundamental Analysis of EUR/GBP for August 10, 2018
Fundamental Analysis of EUR/GBP for August 10, 2018
EUR/GBP has been quite bullish with the recent momentum which leads the price higher after breaching above 0.8850 area with a daily close recently. As of the recent economic, political and Brexit situation, GBP has been struggling to perform better against EUR which resulted in such impulsive bullis...
0
Fundamental Analysis of AUD/JPY for August 10, 2018
Fundamental Analysis of AUD/JPY for August 10, 2018
AUD/JPY has been quite impulsive with the recent bearish gains which lead the price to reside below 82.00 support area with a daily close recently. Though the price has been quite volatile and corrective earlier as the price cleared one of the importance levels in the process, further bearish moment...
0
Indonesian rupiah: something to look at
Indonesian rupiah: something to look at
The strong rise of the USD caused by the tight monetary policy of the Fed made emerging market currencies depreciate. The Indonesian rupiah isn’t an exception. The currency has been suffering a great depreciation since the beginning of the year. To support the domestic currency, the Bank of Indonesi...
1
Fundamental Analysis of NZD/USD for August 9, 2018
Fundamental Analysis of NZD/USD for August 9, 2018
NZD/USD is currently quite impulsive with the bearish momentum which is expected to lead the price towards 0.65 in the coming days. Despite the unchanged economic reports, the dovish nature of the Monetary Policy and Rate statement made NZD lose certain momentum against USD which is expected to lead...
0
Fundamental Analysis of AUD/USD for August 9, 2018
Fundamental Analysis of AUD/USD for August 9, 2018
AUD/USD has been quite corrective and volatile between the range of 0.73 to 0.75 area for a few weeks now. AUD has been quite positive with the recent economic reports which helped the currency to gain momentum in the process while USD is struggling with recent economic reports and Trade War situati...
1
Bears for the euro and the pound are coming back?
Bears for the euro and the pound are coming back?
Today, the British pound and the euro resumed the decline after a slight upward correction, which was observed earlier this week. The absence of important fundamental statistics raises again the talk in the markets about the next interest rate hike in the US, and the actions of the White House admin...
1
Euro buyers need a break. Trump introduces additional duties
Euro buyers need a break. Trump introduces additional duties
The European currency continues to gradually strengthen its positions in tandem with the US dollar against the backdrop of the upward correction that was needed after a serious decline in EUR / USD currency pair last week. The key level, on which the further trend will depend, is now the area of 1.1...
0
Geopolitical risks against the US dollar
Geopolitical risks against the US dollar
It is a logical consequence of the Federal Reserve's trend in normalization of the policy to strengthen the US dollar which is subject to new threats. The development of which can lead to serious changes in the foreign exchange market. ChinaThe trade war is becoming protracted. The volume of Chinese...
0
Global macro overview for 09/08/2018
Global macro overview for 09/08/2018
The global investors were not surprised by today's RBNZ decision on interest rates. As expected, it remained at 1.75%. However, the forecasts for next year have been reduced. By the end of 2019, the base rate is to be at 1.8% (previously expected 1.9%). This means that the rate hike path will be del...
1
Global macro overview for 09/08/2018
Global macro overview for 09/08/2018
Trump's administration has presented a list of further goods from China, which it intends to cover with customs duties this month. However, the new episode of trade wars does not bring about the reaction of the market, which is systematically immune to this type of information.The newly announced $ ...
0
Is the black band for gold over?
Is the black band for gold over?
The leader of the precious metals sector, who marked its worst start in the last decade, managed to take a breather due to the strengthening of the Chinese yuan and the Japanese yen against the US dollar. The strong US currency has become the main culprit of the XAU/USD pair slumping by 7% since the...
2
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