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Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for June 24 - 28, 2024
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for June 24 - 28, 2024
EUR/USD: Eurozone - Rising Inflation, Falling Economy ● As revised Eurostat data published on Monday, June 17, showed, inflation (CPI) in the 20 Eurozone countries accelerated to 2.6% (y/y) in May, compared to 2.4% in April when it was at its lowest since November 2023. The consumer price index in.....
46
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for 17 – 21 June 2024
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for 17 – 21 June 2024
EUR/USD: Hawkish Sentiments of the Fed ● As expected, the key day of last week was Wednesday, 12 June. After the publication of inflation data in the USA, the dollar came under strong pressure. Fresh figures showed that in May, the overall inflation rate (CPI) in annual terms decreased to 3.3% com.....
69
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for 10 – 14 June 2024
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for 10 – 14 June 2024
EUR/USD: Who Controls the Financial Market ● It is clear that interest rates rule the markets, not only in terms of actual changes but also regarding expectations about the timing and magnitude of future changes. From spring 2022 to mid-2023, the focus was on raising rates; now, the expectation ha.....
75
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for 03 – 07 June 2024
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for 03 – 07 June 2024
EUR/USD: Awaiting a Turbulent Week ● Recall that Monday, 27 May was a holiday in the US. However, on Tuesday, dollar bulls took control, and the DXY Index started to rise, bolstered by a significant increase in the US Consumer Confidence Index (from 97.5 to 102.0 against a forecast of 96.0). Conse.....
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Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for 27 – 31 May 2024
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for 27 – 31 May 2024
EUR/USD: The Battle of Europe and US PMIs ● Overall, the past week favoured the dollar, but the advantage over the European currency was minimal. If you look at where the EUR/USD pair was on 15 May, it returned to this zone on 24 May, regaining the losses of recent days. Recall that the report fro.....
75
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for 20 – 24 May 2024
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for 20 – 24 May 2024
EUR/USD: Weak Inflation = Weak USD ● The American currency suffered two significant blows last week. Although these were not knockdowns, let alone knockouts, these minor shocks pushed the DXY Dollar Index down from 105.26 to 104.20 points, and EUR/USD up from 1.0766 to 1.0895. The first blow came.....
77
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for 13 – 17 May 2024
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for 13 – 17 May 2024
EUR/USD: Medium-Term Outlook Favours the Dollar ● Throughout the past week, EUR/USD exhibited mixed dynamics, primarily driven by expectations concerning potential interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and the European Central Bank (ECB). Statements by officials from both central bank.....
64
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for 06 – 10 May 2024
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for 06 – 10 May 2024
EUR/USD: What's Wrong with the US Soft Landing? ● The headline of our last review stated that inflation remains stubborn, and the US GDP is slowing. Newly arrived data have only confirmed these assertions. A crucial inflation measure that the Federal Reserve follows – the Personal Consumption Expe.....
91
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for April 29 - May 3, 2024
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for April 29 - May 3, 2024
EUR/USD: Inflation Persists, US GDP Growth Slows ● The US economy remains the most powerful on the planet. Moreover, its share of global GDP has reached a nearly two-decade high of 26.3%. According to the IMF, from 2018, the European Union's share decreased by 1.4%, Japan's by 2.1%, while the Unit.....
69
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for 22 – 26 April 2024
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for 22 – 26 April 2024
EUR/USD: A Pause After the Rally ● Last week, 60% of analysts adopted a neutral stance in their previous forecast and were proven absolutely correct. EUR/USD had a calm week, even boring at times, moving along the 1.0650 mark within the narrow corridor of 1.0600-1.0690. Market participants were r.....
80
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for 15 – 19 April 2024
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for 15 – 19 April 2024
EUR/USD: The Dollar Soars ● Last week saw two significant events: the first shocked market participants, while the second passed without surprises. Let's examine the details in order. Since mid-2022, consumer prices in the US have been declining. In July 2022, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) was a.....
129
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for 08 – 12 April 2024
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for 08 – 12 April 2024
EUR/USD: The Dollar Weakness Puzzle ● What transpired with the EUR/USD pair last week? It behaved as expected on Monday, 01 April. However, starting from Tuesday, the situation deviated. Let's delve into the details. On the first day of April, data on business activity in the US industrial sector .....
96
Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for March 25 - 29, 2024
Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for March 25 - 29, 2024
EUR/USD: Switzerland Strengthens the Dollar ● The key event of the past week was undoubtedly the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting of the US Federal Reserve on March 20. As expected, the American Central Bank unanimously decided to maintain the key interest rate at its highest level in .....
145
Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for March 18 - 22, 2024
Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for March 18 - 22, 2024
EUR/USD: Stubborn Inflation Refuses to Back Down ● Market participants last week were keenly focused on inflation data from the US. The FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting of the Federal Reserve is scheduled for Wednesday, 20 March, and these figures will undoubtedly influence the Committ.....
272
Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for March 11 - 15, 2024
Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for March 11 - 15, 2024
EUR/USD: A Bad Week for the Dollar ● The past week was dominated by the European Central Bank (ECB)'s meeting on Thursday, 7 March. As anticipated, the pan-European regulator decided to maintain its current monetary policy, leaving the interest rate unchanged at 4.50%. This move reaffirmed its co.....
81
Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for March 04 - 08, 2024
Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for March 04 - 08, 2024
EUR/USD: Weak Bulls vs. Weak Bears ● Throughout the past week, EUR/USD has been trading within a narrow channel. News favouring the euro pushed it towards the resistance level at 1.0865, while positive developments for the dollar brought it back to the support level at 1.0800. However, neither the.....
50
Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for February 26 - March 01, 2024
Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for February 26 - March 01, 2024
EUR/USD: ECB Rhetoric Against the Dollar ● Data on consumer inflation (CPI) in the US, published on February 13, exceeded expectations. The Producer Price Index (PPI) also indicated a rise in industrial inflation in the country. However, despite this, the American currency failed to gain additiona.....
24
Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for February 19 - 23, 2024
Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for February 19 - 23, 2024
EUR/USD: A Week of Mixed Data ● The macroeconomic statistics released last week were mixed in both the United States and the Eurozone. As a result, EUR/USD failed to break through either the 1.0700 support or the 1.0800 resistance, continuing to move within a narrow sideways channel. ● The US dol.....
30
Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for February 12 - 16, 2024
Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for February 12 - 16, 2024
EUR/USD: Dollar Dips but Promises a Rebound ● Last week saw a scarcity of significant macroeconomic data. In anticipation of new drivers, market participants analysed the state of the US labour market and statements from Federal Reserve officials. Data released on February 2 revealed that the numb.....
119
Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for February 05 – 09, 2024
Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for February 05 – 09, 2024
EUR/USD: Dollar Strengthening Prospects Increase ● Throughout January, a series of indicators: GDP, employment, and retail sales, consistently highlighted the strength of the US economy. The threat of recession diminished, and it became evident that the high interest rate did not significantly hi.....
70
Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for January 29 – February 02, 2024
Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for January 29 – February 02, 2024
EUR/USD: US Economy Delivers Surprises ● The two most significant events last week occurred on Thursday, January 25. On this day, the European Central Bank (ECB) held a meeting, and preliminary GDP data for the US for Q4 2023 was published. As expected, the ECB left the key interest rate unchanged.....
23
Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for January 22 – 26, 2024
Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for January 22 – 26, 2024
EUR/USD: Reasons Behind the Dollar's Strengthening ● The past week was notably sparse in terms of macroeconomic statistics. Consequently, the market participants' sentiment largely depended on the statements made at the World Economic Forum in Davos (WEF). It's worth noting that this event, held .....
26
Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for January 15 – 19, 2024
Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for January 15 – 19, 2024
EUR/USD: Market Anticipates Federal Reserve Rate Cut ● We published our global forecast for EUR/USD for the upcoming year in the last week of 2023. Now, moving from long-term projections, we return to our traditional weekly reviews, which have been conducted by the NordFX analytical group for ove.....
12
USD/JPY: 2023 Review and 2024 Forecast
USD/JPY: 2023 Review and 2024 Forecast
According to statistics, USD/JPY (US Dollar/Japanese Yen) is among the top three most traded currency pairs in the Forex market. This is facilitated by the pair's high liquidity, which ensures narrow spreads and favourable trading conditions. This means that traders can enter and exit positions wi.....
11
Forecast 2024: Bitcoin Yesterday, Tomorrow, and the Day After
Forecast 2024: Bitcoin Yesterday, Tomorrow, and the Day After
  The main question, just a few years ago, was when the crypto bubble would burst. Over time, bitcoin gradually earned its place in the minds and portfolios of traders and investors. Competing actively with physical gold and other investment and defensive assets, digital gold emerged as a formidab.....
14
Forecast: What to Expect from the Euro and Dollar in 2024
Forecast: What to Expect from the Euro and Dollar in 2024
  Traditionally, we publish currency forecasts from leading global financial institutions at the turn of the outgoing and incoming years. Having maintained this practice for several years, it enables us to not only peer into the future but also to reflect on past predictions by experts and evaluat.....
16
Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for December 18 – 22, 2023
Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for December 18 – 22, 2023
EUR/USD: Dovish Fed Reversal The fate of EUR/USD was determined by two events last week: the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting of the US Federal Reserve and the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank (ECB), which took place a day later. As a result, the euro em.....
23
Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for December 11 – 15, 2023
Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for December 11 – 15, 2023
EUR/USD: Continuation of the Rate War The labour market and inflation: these are the factors that Central Banks closely monitor when making decisions regarding monetary policy and interest rates. It is sufficient to recall the significant shift that occurred after the publication of October's in.....
49
Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for December 04 – 08, 2023
Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for December 04 – 08, 2023
EUR/USD: December – A Formidable Month for the Dollar Who will start loosening the grip on their monetary policies earlier, the Federal Reserve (FRS) or the European Central Bank (ECB)? The discussion on this topic remains active, as clearly seen in the quotes' charts. The statistics from the pas.....
111
Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for November 27 – December 01, 2023
Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for November 27 – December 01, 2023
EUR/USD: Day of Thanksgiving and Week of Contradictions Reminder that the American currency came under significant pressure on November 14 following the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report in the USA. In October, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreased from 0.4% to 0% (m/m), and on .....
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