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Goldman Sachs forecasts oil deficit
Goldman Sachs forecasts oil deficit
Oil keeps rallying for the fourth day in a row after Goldman Sachs claimed that the oil market is in deficit and also because of the recent storm in the Gulf of Mexico, which led to the sharp decline of oil production. It is the best week for oil since June! Analysts from Goldman Sachs anticipate th...
22
08.09.2020 14:36 Brent oil faces headwinds
Main / For Traders / Forex Analysis / Fundamental analysis 08.09.202014:36 Brent oil faces headwinds Long-term review Similar to the rally in US stock market indices, the rapid rise in oil prices from April lows, which continued through the end of summer, looked quite exaggerated. T...
22
Oil: no easy way back
Oil: no easy way back
What are the forecasts for the oil market? Is there any hope of a recovery? What happened? The International Energy Agency decreased its forecasts for the oil market on Thursday. Indeed, the coronavirus ruined the oil demand. Therefore, the Agency can’t give any optimistic guidelines. You might thin...
9
Oil prices fell once again
Relevance up to 08:00 2020-07-11 UTC+2 Crude oil fell after a key Libyan oil field resumed production. It threatens to release barrels of oil into the market where demand is already low. Thus, due to this, oil futures in the US fell 3%.The Mesla and Sarir oil fields in eastern Libya resumed produc....
17
UAE claims that they lied in the previous reduction agreements
UAE claims that they lied in the previous reduction agreements
Relevance up to 09:00 2020-06-18 UTC+2 Energy Minister Suhail Al Mazroui of the United Arab Emirates said that the production cuts administered by OPEC members will soon bring oil prices back to normal.When the markets collapsed, Mazrui initially claimed during a conference call that $ 40 a barrel....
18
OPEC+ meeting on June 6
OPEC+ meeting on June 6
Investors await the OPEC+ decision on output cuts. It will define where the oil price will go. Brief background The oil market was completely destroyed this year. The coronavirus outbreak forced all the people to stop travelling, driving their cars and factories to shut down. As a result, the oil de...
24
#CL oil is too important to cost less than $20
#CL oil is too important to cost less than $20
Long-term review Dear colleagues. The fall of oil quotes into the negative zone caused a serious commotion not only on world exchanges and the information space, but also in the minds of investors. What until recently was unbelievable has become a reality. However, negative prices cannot be the n....
24
Trader's diary for May 20, 2020. Coronavirus in Russia, trend change. RUB
Trader's diary for May 20, 2020. Coronavirus in Russia, trend change. RUB
Relevance up to 11:00 2020-05-21 UTC+2 This chart shows the number of active coronavirus cases in Russia, that is, the total number of infected people, excluding recovered and dead. Yesterday, on May 19, the figure seemed to have hit the highest point. This chart shows the number of new coronavir....
27
GBP/USD. Disappointing data from Britain
GBP/USD. Disappointing data from Britain
Relevance up to 19:00 UTC+2 The pound significantly fell against the US dollar - for the first time since the beginning of April, the sterling fell into the framework of the 22nd figure, demonstrating a bearish mood. The GBP/USD pair reached its local high on April 14, peaking at 1.2647. But buye....
49
Daily review of EUR/USD. April 21, 2020. The world will have to learn living with cheap oil
Daily review of EUR/USD. April 21, 2020. The world will have to learn living with cheap oil
Relevance up to 13:00 2020-04-22 UTC+2 Oil costs $ 17 in the US. Brent oil costs $ 20. US oil's June contract fell to $ 12.Obvious problem: large oversupply of oil in the market - all storage tanks are full.Production cuts promised by the OPEC + deal should work out gradually - but what about dema....
45
Trader's Diary for April 21, 2020. US oil plunges below $0
Trader's Diary for April 21, 2020. US oil plunges below $0
Relevance up to 09:00 2020-04-22 UTC+2 U.S oil price plunges to less than $0 per barrel on April 20.This oil situation in the USA gives very negative prospects for the oil market. The oil contract for May delivery stopped trading on Monday. As for June contracts, Brent oil so far is held at levels....
38
Trading plan for April 21, 2020. EUR/USD. Coronavirus update. WTI oil collapsed.
Trading plan for April 21, 2020. EUR/USD. Coronavirus update. WTI oil collapsed.
Relevance up to 08:00 2020-04-22 UTC+2 WTI oil collapsed on Monday. Its quotes fell to minus (!!!) $ 35.On MICEX, WTI trading was stopped. See the chart for Monday:The last price on the chart is 7 cents per barrel.Brent oil, on the other hand, is holding around $ 25 per barrel. This is actually a ....
38
Evening review for April 20, 2020. EUR/USD. Two good news and one bad news.
Evening review for April 20, 2020. EUR/USD. Two good news and one bad news.
Relevance up to 15:00 2020-04-21 UTC+2 Two good news:1. Western countries have passed the "peak" of the pandemic. Countries in Western Europe, such as Italy and Spain, showed a significant decrease in the number of deaths per day - below 450. Death toll in Britain and France is below 600 and 500 d....
47
Oil quotes continue to fall
Oil quotes continue to fall
Relevance up to 08:00 2020-04-21 UTC+2 On Friday, US oil prices fell another 8%, reaching a new 18-year low of $ 18.27 per barrel. At some point, the price even fell to $ 17.33 per barrel - the lowest price since November 2001.The accelerating collapse of the oil market reflects the realization th....
39
Bears keep playing with oil
Bears keep playing with oil
Oil prices remain under pressure. After Brent has broken the consolidation range to the downside and fell below 30.00, it got some support ahead of 27.00. At the same time, the Awesome Oscillator on the D1 formed a negative “saucer” signal. As a result, the odds are that the price will revisit lower...
42
Overview of the EUR/USD pair. April 6. Fitch forecasts: a recession until at least 2022, new falls in stock indices, and rising unemployment
Overview of the EUR/USD pair. April 6. Fitch forecasts: a recession until at least 2022, new falls in stock indices, and rising unemployment
Relevance up to 03:00 2020-04-07 UTC+2 4-hour timeframe Technical details: Higher linear regression channel: direction - downward. Lower linear regression channel: direction - downward. Moving average (20; smoothed) - downward. CCI: -128.8756 A new trading week begins with a continuing downward m....
32
Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for March 23 - 27, 2020
Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for March 23 - 27, 2020
First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. The coronavirus pandemic continues to drive global markets. The oil wars between Saudi Arabia and Russia, which, of course, do not do without the active intervention of the United States, add to the nervousness. This country, whose shale oil is anothe....
51
EUR/USD. Are the bears full? Oversold pair provoked a correction
EUR/USD. Are the bears full? Oversold pair provoked a correction
Relevance up to 20:00 UTC+1 The financial world has experienced another day of increased turbulence. The battle of traders for the US currency led to the fact that the dollar index rose to 103 points, reflecting the huge demand throughout the market. The euro-dollar pair again updated the low, re....
33
How Deep OIL Could Go?
How Deep OIL Could Go?
Relevance up to 10:00 2020-03-20 UTC+1 Everyone is wondering these days how long the oil drop could be and when it could start increasing again? Personally, I don't have this answer because the global risk is high amid an unfolding economic crisis.In this article, we'll talk about Brent Oil price ....
37
Analysis and forecast for USD/JPY on March 17, 2020
Analysis and forecast for USD/JPY on March 17, 2020
Relevance up to 12:00 2020-03-18 UTC+1 Hello, colleagues! Global financial markets are in a state of panic and chaos. Yesterday, the stock market collapsed, and the price of Brent oil fell to the area of $30 per barrel. To increase the liquidity of the global financial system, 5 (five) leading wor....
18
EUR/USD. Dollar revaluation: "minute of glory" or long-term rally?
EUR/USD. Dollar revaluation: \
Relevance up to 18:00 UTC+1 "The dollar is back": a similar thesis can often be found in the analytical reports of many currency strategists today. The US currency is behaving quite abnormally today – amid all disadvantageous and extremely negative factors, the greenback is rapidly regaining lost....
32
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for February 10 - 14, 2020
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for February 10 - 14, 2020
First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. The statistics in the United States (including ISM and NFP) look rather optimistic. The US indices have updated their record levels over the past five days: The Dow Jones is 29393 and the S&P500 is 3345. Production orders in Germany have been fall....
47
Brent: is there a bottom?
Brent: is there a bottom?
On the W1, Brent oil formed a bullish “hammer”. The pattern appeared near the 50-week MA (64.80). This week opened with a gap to the upside – the market is optimistic about the demand for the commodity after the US-China trade deal. By applying the Fibonacci tool to the January decline, we get the u...
27
USD/JPY. Unnecessary yen: Japanese currency is actively losing value
USD/JPY. Unnecessary yen: Japanese currency is actively losing value
Relevance up to 08:00 2020-01-18 UTC+1 The dollar/yen pair reached semi-annual highs, gaining a foothold in the 110th figure. The upward trend for the pair has been actively developing since the beginning of 2020 - the price has stepped over three hundred points for a week and a half. Against the....
42
Oil and OPEC+
Oil and OPEC+
Long-term review Oil increased earlier this month as tensions between Iran and the United States flared after a US military strike that killed Iran's top military commander in Iraq. However, crude oil prices bounced back last week as tensions appeared to ease after a retaliatory strike from Iran a....
35
OIL price: still rising
OIL price: still rising
Chronology These days may seem a little out of order to the oil price in light of the happenings between the US and Iran. This gives more reason to have a fresh look at the chart. But first, let us recollect the logic of the events.  On Friday, the news about the killed Iranian commander Soleimani r...
112
Brent oil: trading in range
Brent oil: trading in range
Trade idea SELL 60.30; TP1 59.65; TP2 58.30; SL 60.60 Brent oil has been trading sideways in the 62.00/58.00 area since the beginning of August. The price is currently at the upper Bollinger band and formed a candlestick with a long upper wick on the H4. In addition, the Stochastic Oscillator has cr...
96
Brent is under pressure
Brent is under pressure
Trade ideas SELL 60.80; TP 60.00; SL 61.00 BUY 61.90; TP 62.80; SL 61.70 Brent oil closed last week below the 100-week MA at 61.86 for the first time since 2018. On D1, the price formed a candlestick with a long upper wick - a sign that bulls didn’t manage to make it close at the day’s high.  There ...
131
The fundamental outlook for oil
Crude oil had a rough time during the past few weeks. What let the commodity down and what should we expect in the future? Staggering demand Fears about the global economic growth slowdown represent a major hurdle for oil. When economies experience problems, their demand for the commodity slides to...
123
Oil may correct down
Oil may correct down
On W1, Brent oil formed a bearish candlestick with a long upper shadow. All things equal, it will be difficult for bulls to keep pushing higher immediately after such a pattern. In addition, the price failed to close above the 61.8% Fibo retracement of the 2018 decline at 72.80. In this area, there’...
145
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