USD / JPY 대한 외환 분석

What will move the market this week? This week may fairly be called a week of monetary policy reports. On Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday, we will have the US Fed, Bank of England, and Bank of Japan provide their interest rates and monetary policy reports respectively. Therefore, it makes sense to e...

USD/JPY has been floating above 103.63 since January 14. After, it rose to trade in the resistance channel 104.00 - 104.10. But now, it's going down again. Will it drop to the original support channel of 103.53 - 103.63? Very likely. We have to assume that as the long-term perspective supposes furth...

EUR/USD: decade’s end The year 2020 started with the EUR/USD touching the bottom of 1.08 as it was making the way for the downtrend through the entire 2019. After a fierce shock easily visible as heavy fluctuation in February-March, the pair reversed and started actively marching upwards. Eventually...

What happened? The USD has started the day on a positive footing and pushed USD/JPY upwards. Early in the morning the Bank of Japan held the last meeting this year and extended the Covid-19 relief program by the next 6 months. Elsewhere, Japan published core consumer prices, which were in line with ...

For the last two weeks, the channel of 126.50-126.70 has been capping the upside potential for USD/JPY. It already bounced downwards a couple of times previously, the last one took place a week ago. Currently, the pair is exactly at the entrance of this resistance channel. If it moves further upward...

Ichimoku Kinko Hyo AUD/JPY: The pair is trading above the cloud. Further bullish pressure will lead the currency pair to retest the previous highs. Fibonacci Levels XAU/USD: Gold consolidates on the 38.2% retracement area the last day. Seems that bullish momentum declines recently. European Ma...

USD/JPY now trades between 104.80 and 105.00. Further below, there are only September lows. The closest one is 104.5 – if the currency pair reaches there, that would be half-way to the bottom of the large downward channel. 104.00 would be the true support to look for – that’s where USD/JPY would lik...

USD/JPY formed a higher low at the end of last week. Today the pair is testing levels above the 50-day MA. There’s scope for a move up to the 106.50 area if it manages to overcome 106.00. Notice that that area will offer strong resistance so we don’t offer further targets for now. Trade idea for USD...

The Japanese yen gained amid the overall risk-off sentiment on the market. Let’s discuss the details. What happened? The Federal Reserve held a meeting yesterday, where it left rates at low levels until 2023. Nevertheless, market participants didn’t take it as dovish. Instead of that, the US dollar ...

The pair was falling down amid the waning US dollar. However, the situation changed this month. Fundamentals The hottest topic is that the US president Donald Trump has forbidden Americans to have a business with all the Chinese apps such as TikTok and WeChat. How does it influence the Forex market?...

Foreshadowing changes The US dollar has been enjoying increased demand among other currencies throughout recent months. That is understandable: once a problem hits the world, there is nothing to run for… except for the USD. However, the crisis, as heavy as it is, especially in the US with its persis...

The USD/JPY bounced down from the resistance of 107.90 at the upper border of the channel it has been in for the last two weeks. Currently at 107.43, it is testing the lower border of that channel, and bears already showed that they are ready to keep pressure. If that happens, the support of 107.07 ...

USD/JPY has returned below the 50-day MA as the market’s risk aversion increased. It seems that the market has formed an interim top. At the same time, the pair has reached a short-term support line from the start of May. The decline below 106.75 (50-day MA on the H4) will open the way down to 106.4...

USD/JPY has declined from 111.70 and went into consolidation around 107.50. On the D1, we can see that yesterday’s attempt of bulls to bring the price higher failed: the candlestick has a long upper wick and closed below all the key daily moving averages.  The United States will release ISM Manufact...

The meeting of the Federal Reserve at 21:00 Mt time will be the highlight of the day. There is a very high possibility that the event will make an impact on USD/JPY. The pair has opened with a gap down this week but got support around 108.90/70 (50-week MA, 100-day MA). However, on the D1, the 50-da...

On the H1, USD/JPY is recovering after the selloff that took place during the previous three days. The pair formed a higher low and may test resistance between 109.66 (38.2% Fibo, weekly MAs) and 109.78 (resistance line from January highs, 50% Fibo). However, concerns about the Chinese coronavirus w...

The US dollar had a strong week versus the Japanese yen. USD/JPY opened with a gap down on the W1, but is now trading above the highs of the previous week.   The United States will release Nonfarm Payrolls, Average Hourly Earnings and Unemployment Rate at 15:30 MT time. If the data are better than e...

The upcoming year opens a new decade. The events of Blade Runner would have already taken place. Do you feel that the future is here? In this article, we look at the economic side of things. Will the trends we observed in 2019 continue in 2020? What will happen with the global economy? And, finally,...

Trade idea SELL 109.30; TP 109.00; SL 109.45 USD/JPY had a bullish week. Yet, we should notice that the pair has reached some heavy resistance: 100-week MA (109.66) and 200-week MA (109.84). On the D1, we can already see that the movement to the upside has stalled on Thursday as USD/JPY formed a ver...

Trade idea SELL 107.40; TP 107.05; SL 107.55 USD/JPY is forming on the H1 what looks like a bearish “Butterfly” pattern. The pattern will allow the pair to rise to the 107.50/60 area (limited by the 100-day MA and 100-period MA on the H4). There’s also an obstacle in the form of the 200-period MA on...

Trade ideas SELL 106.90; TP 106.30; SL 107.10 BUY 107.85; TP 108.40; SL 107.70 Earlier this week, we used to be impressed by the steady bullish progress of USD/JPY. However, the trade we were thinking of, wasn’t triggered: the USD got hit by bad data and sharply declined. You can read here how this ...

Trade idea SELL 107.40; TP1 107.10; TP2 106.70; SL 107.55 USD/JPY formed a candlestick on the W1 that strongly resembles a “shooting star”. This happened right at the resistance of the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the April-August decline at 108.40. The weak risk appetite may contribute to the stren...

Trade ideas BUY 107.25; TP1 107.50; TP2 107.80; SL 107.10 SELL 106.70; TP 106.30; SL 106.90 The USD is going to be volatile on Friday, September 6, as America will release Nonfarm Payrolls data at 15:30 MT time. USD/JPY is a currency pair that traditionally reacts strongly to this release. The pair ...

Trade idea BUY 108.65: TP 109.60; SL 108.35 Last week, USD/JPY formed a higher low. Then it broke above the resistance line connecting May 13 low and the highs of June. The pair reached the 38.2% Fibo retracement of the June-April decline and the 50-day MA in the 108.90 area. The advance above this ...

월요일 아시아 통화는 달러인덱스(DXY) 대비 혼조세를 보이고 있고, DXY는 전망치를 상회한 미국 소매판매와 제조업 생산지표에 힘입어 97.5대를 유지하고 있습니다. 시장은 여전히 몇 달 안에 미국 통화정책 완화 조치가 나올 것으로 예상하지만, 엇갈리게 나온 미국 경제 지표로 인해 금리인하 기대감은 약해지고 있습니다.시장의 모든 이목은 수요일 미연준 정책발표에 쏠려 있는데, 이번 회의에서 인내심 문구가 사라진다면 최근 달러 상승폭을 내줄 수 있습니다. 미연준이 미국의 기록적인 경기 확장기가 더 이어질 것이라는 자신감과 트럼프 대통...

Trade ideas BUY 108.75; TP 109.00; SL 108.65 SELL 109.20; TP 108.00; SL 109.50 The US dollar is correcting up versus the Japanese yen. USD/JPY managed to rise above the 50-period MA on H4 and get above the highs of last week. The pair is also trading above the weekly pivot point at 108.19. This open...

이번 달은 영국 총리의 거취와 브렉시트 합의안을 둘러싼 불확실성으로 파운드화가 심리적 지지선인 1.26까지 급락하면서 테레사 메이 총리에게 힘든 시기였습니다. 앤드리아 레드섬(Andrea Leadsom) 하원 원내총무가 메이 총리 재임 기간 중 사퇴함에 따라 메이 총리의 브렉시트 합의안에 대한 지지 기반이 약화되고 브렉시트 강경론자가 힘을 받을 가능성이 커졌습니다.GBPUSD가 1.30 근방에서 바닥을 확인했던 것은 영국이 노딜 브렉시트를 피할 수 있을 것이라는 가정에 근거했습니다. 하지만 최악의 브렉시트 시나리오가 현실화될 것이라...

이번 주에도 미중 무역 갈등이 시장에 지배적 영향을 줄 것으로 예상되는 가운데 월요일 아시아 증시는 위험 회피 분위기로 시작했습니다. 일본 엔화를 제외한 모든 아시아 통화가 현재 달러 대비 약세를 보이고 있습니다. 월요일 오전 아시아 증시는 대부분 하락세를 보이는 가운데 상해 종합지수는 -1.5%로 하락 출발한 후 현재 낙폭을 줄이는 중입니다. 한편, S&P 500 지수 선물은 현재 -1%로서 지난주 올해 가장 큰 하락폭을 기록한 미국 증시가 더 하락할 가능성이 높아 보입니다.주말 동안 트럼프 대통령은 중국과의 무역협상 방식...