پیش بینی های FX هفتگی

First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. There is a saying, “a new broom sweeps clean”. If the previous US President Donald Trump were in the shoes of Joe Biden now, he would probably call the head of the Fed Jerome Powell a "traitor" for the fact that his speech on Thursday February 04 lite....

First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. As we expected, the speech by the head of the Fed turned out to be quite interesting. Jerome Powell presented to Congress a semi-annual report on monetary policy, from which it followed that not everything is as good as we would like as far as the rec....

First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. It often happens that monthly forecasts come true faster than weekly ones. That was what happened this time as well. Recall that only 30% of experts expected the EUR/USD pair to grow in the weekly perspective. In the transition to the monthly forecast....

First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. The dollar has been growing throughout the week, fueled by optimism about the imminent recovery of the US economy. The incidence of coronavirus is down sharply: in just three weeks since the peak, the 7-day moving average has dropped by almost 50%. An....

First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. The trade wars unleashed by the previous US President Trump have just seemingly subsided, but now we can "congratulate" everyone on the start of a new - currency - war. And it could prove equally exciting and unpredictable. This time, it was the Europ....

First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. We published a chart seven days ago that clearly showed how the correlation between the S&P500 index and EUR/USD was broken in early January. But now everything is back to normal: the S&P500 continued its growth, reaching a historic maximum of....

First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. Making a forecast for the past week, the majority of experts (60%) were in favor of reducing the pair first to support 1.2100, and then, possibly, another 50 points lower. Almost everything happened as forecasted: the EUR/USD pair was at the level of ....

First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. According to Bank of America Merrill Lynch, the most popular strategy in the market after “buy shares” is “sell the dollar”. Speculative short positions in this currency have risen to a two-year high. The USD index (DXY) has fallen below 90, while it ....

First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. The dollar continues to fall, the euro continues to rise. The pair has traveled from 1.1600 to 1.2175 since early November. The main reasons for the weakening of the US currency lie in the growing global risk appetite. Against the background of positi....

First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. The market is now ruled by two main factors: the second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic and the upcoming November 3 presidential election in the United States. A rise of nearly 900,000 in applications for unemployment benefits showed that the labor mar....

قبل از هرچیز، بیایید نگاهی به اتفاقات هفته‌ی قبل داشته باشیم: EUR/USD. ما مکررا درباره‌ی ترس بانک مرکزی اروپا از تقویت یورو نوشته‌ایم. این اتفاق می‌تواند تهدیدی برای اقتصاد ناحیه‌ی یورو باشد. اما نه رییس بانک مرکزی اروپا کریستین لگارد و نه همکارانش نمی‌خواهند با فدرال رزرو جنگ ارزی شروع کنند. به هم....

First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. The overwhelming majority of experts (75%), supported by the oscillators indicating that this pair is overbought, expected its correction to the south. The argument was that the pair ended the week near the strong resistance zone of 1.1900 on Friday, ....

First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. We noted in the previous forecast that only a clear breakdown of the channel 1.1700-1.1910 in one direction or another can give a clear idea of the dominant trend in conditions of subsiding activity. It is in this range that the pair has been moving f....

First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. Citing data from the Labor Department, optimists say that the U.S. economic recovery is gaining momentum. The pandemic-stricken labour market is beginning to recover and may have already overcome the worst stage of the crisis. Unemployment in July fel....

First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. The U.S. economy is not just in recession. It's flying down at a breakneck speed. The decline in US GDP in the second quarter was the largest ever recorded - minus 32.9%. The reasons for this fall are well known - these are quarantine measures caused ....

First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. The USA does not bring good news to the markets. Escalating tensions between Beijing and Washington, rising jobless claims, and the ongoing COVID-19 offensive frighten investors, raising doubts about the imminent recovery of the American economy. The ....

First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. Relations between Beijing and Washington continue to heat up, the onslaught on coronavirus goes with great difficulty. 1.3 million people applied for primary unemployment benefits last week in the United States. For more than 17.3 million it was not t....

First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. The dollar is slowly weakening, the pair moved above Pivot Point 1.1240 last week, but is still within the five-week channel 1.1170-1.1350. As expected by 25% of experts, the bulls made an attempt to reach the level of 1.1400, but their attack choked ....

قبل از هرچیز، بیایید نگاهی به اتفاقات هفته‌ی قبل داشته باشیم: EUR/USD. جدیدترین داده‌های بازار کار آمریکا نه تنها خوشبینانه است، بلکه بیش از حد خوشبینی در خودش دارد. در ماه ژوئن حدود ۴.۸ میلیون نفر سر کارشان باز گشته‌اند. نرخ بیکاری از ۱۳.۳ درصد به ۱۱.۱ درصد کاهش پیدا کرده است؛ بهترین افزایش اشتغال....

First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. The Financial Times reported in a recent article that analysts began to have problems as Forex stopped responding to fundamental factors as before. Against the backdrop of uncertainty in global financial markets, investor risk moods dominate, which ar....

First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. If someone thought that the United States won COVID-19, they were mistaken. The number of people infected with coronavirus is growing in 21 states, with new highs recorded in 14 of them. Anti-racist demonstrations in the country are likely to further ....

قبل از هرچیز، بیایید نگاهی به اتفاقات هفته‌ی قبل داشته باشیم: EUR/USD. وضعیتی که شاخص‌های کلان اقتصادی از اقتصاد جهانی رسم می‌کنند، به هیچ عنوان خوشبینانه نیست. البته شرایط در اروپا بسیار بدتر از آمریکا است. اقتصاد اروپا در شش ماه گذشته ۳.۸ درصد و در سال گذشته ۱۴.۴ درصد ضعیف شده است. از آن طرف، اقت....

First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. While in the United States, decisions to allocate money to revive the economy are made quickly enough, in the Euro Zone this is a process that requires a long discussion and agreement between the participating countries. And this can not but put press....

First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. The number of applications for unemployment benefits in the United States has amounted to 22 million over the past four weeks. For comparison, this figure remained at the level of about 930 thousand in the previous few years. In other words, the unemp....

First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. The pair's flights in recent weeks can be compared to aerobatics: first, an almost vertical takeoff up by 630 points, then a vertical peak by 860, and now a new leap up by 445 points. Several factors caused the sharp drop in the dollar. The main one i....

First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. The coronavirus pandemic continues to drive global markets. The oil wars between Saudi Arabia and Russia, which, of course, do not do without the active intervention of the United States, add to the nervousness. This country, whose shale oil is anothe....

First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. The situation in the financial markets is completely under the control of the coronavirus for many weeks in the run. And if many traders in 2019 complained about the lowest volatility of the EUR/USD pair in the history of its existence, the situation ....

First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. The statistics in the United States (including ISM and NFP) look rather optimistic. The US indices have updated their record levels over the past five days: The Dow Jones is 29393 and the S&P500 is 3345. Production orders in Germany have been fall....

قبل از هرچیز، بیایید نگاهی به اتفاقات هفته‌ی قبل داشته باشیم: EUR/USD. هفته‌ی گذشته تحت علم ویروس کرونا گذشت که سهم اصلی را در اتفاقات بازار برعهده داشت. کالاها و ارزهایی که مشخصا با چین ارتباط داشتند، بیشترین سختی را کشیدند. همان‌طور که می‌دانید، بازار ناحیه‌ی یورو نزدیکی زیادی با اقتصاد چین دارد....

First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. Starting on Monday from the level of 1.1110, the pair went up, as expected by most experts. The market did not react to the initiated impeachment of the US President Trump, and the S&P500 Index once again updated the historical maximum. However, t....