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SP500 Weekly FX Forecasts

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Weekly Market Outlook: FOMC, US & EU earnings in focus
In the last full week of the month, all eyes turn to Wednesday’s FOMC statement and press conference. While no changes are expected, traders will be keen to hear what Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell thinks of the economy and when tapering could start.  Capital flows could see its way into sto...
0
Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for January 25 – 29, 2021
Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for January 25 – 29, 2021
First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. We published a chart seven days ago that clearly showed how the correlation between the S&P500 index and EUR/USD was broken in early January. But now everything is back to normal: the S&P500 continued its growth, reaching a historic maximum of....
16
Weekly Market Outlook: Central banks, earnings and the Presidential Inauguration
It’s a big week ahead for traders and investors and economic data, company reports and politics all take centre stage. The 59th Presidential Inauguration is set to take place on Wednesday 20 January. However, investors will be on edge following the attack on Capitol Hill in Washington. From an econo...
2
Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for January 18 - 22, 2021
Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for January 18 - 22, 2021
First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. Making a forecast for the past week, the majority of experts (60%) were in favor of reducing the pair first to support 1.2100, and then, possibly, another 50 points lower. Almost everything happened as forecasted: the EUR/USD pair was at the level of ....
12
Weekly Market Outlook: The US dollar, stimulus and stocks in focus
It’s setting up to be another interesting week for financial markets as the US dollar brushed off the worst jobs report since April 2020 last week. Market participants were shocked when 150,000 jobs were lost in the economy during December against an expected 50,000 increase in jobs.  Surprisingly, ...
1
Weekly Market Outlook: US employment and a new UK/EU relationship
The first full week of the new year sees traders focus on key economic announcements which includes the US FOMC Meeting Minutes release on Wednesday and US Non-Farm Payroll figures and employment report on Friday. Considering the US dollar was the weakest currency for the last half of 2020 the annou...
0
Weekly Market Outlook: Brexit, lockdowns and stimulus in focus
The economic calendar is very quiet this week due to the holiday season. However, there are some big themes that will be on the mind of traders and investors considering how to close out their year-end books and start the new year.  News from the UK government over the weekend of a new coronavirus m...
14
Weekly Market Outlook: Brexit, lockdowns and stimulus in focus
The economic calendar is very quiet this week due to the holiday season. However, there are some big themes that will be on the mind of traders and investors considering how to close out their year-end books and start the new year.  News from the UK government over the weekend of a new coronavirus m...
7
Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for December 21 - 25, 2020
Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for December 21 - 25, 2020
First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. According to Bank of America Merrill Lynch, the most popular strategy in the market after “buy shares” is “sell the dollar”. Speculative short positions in this currency have risen to a two-year high. The USD index (DXY) has fallen below 90, while it ....
32
Weekly Market Outlook: ECB Monetary Policy Statement and Brexit in focus
After last week's shocking US employment report which showed only 245,000 jobs were added to the economy against an expected 440,000, all eyes now turn to this week's European Central Bank Monetary Policy Statement and Press Conference on Thursday. The bank is expected to deliver some more stimulu....
12
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for December 07 - 11, 2020
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for December 07 - 11, 2020
First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. The dollar continues to fall, the euro continues to rise. The pair has traveled from 1.1600 to 1.2175 since early November. The main reasons for the weakening of the US currency lie in the growing global risk appetite. Against the background of positi....
32
Weekly Market Outlook: OPEC, RBA and NFPs in focus
Economic data ramps up this week with the Reserve Bank of Australia Rate Statement and US Manufacturing PMI data on Tuesday, Australian GDP on Wednesday and US and Canada Employment figures on Friday. Of course, all eyes will also be on the progression of Brexit talks with only five weeks to go befo...
1
Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for October 19 - 23, 2020
Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for October 19 - 23, 2020
First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. The market is now ruled by two main factors: the second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic and the upcoming November 3 presidential election in the United States. A rise of nearly 900,000 in applications for unemployment benefits showed that the labor mar....
37
Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for October 12 - 16, 2020
First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. We have repeatedly written about the ECB's fear of strengthening the euro as it poses a threat to the recovery of the Eurozone economy. However, neither the head of the ECB Christine Lagarde nor her colleagues want to start a currency war with the US ....
7
Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrency Forecast for September 28 - October 02, 2020
Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrency Forecast for September 28 - October 02, 2020
First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. The overwhelming majority of experts (75%), supported by the oscillators indicating that this pair is overbought, expected its correction to the south. The argument was that the pair ended the week near the strong resistance zone of 1.1900 on Friday, ....
43
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for August 24 - 28, 2020
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for August 24 - 28, 2020
First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. We noted in the previous forecast that only a clear breakdown of the channel 1.1700-1.1910 in one direction or another can give a clear idea of the dominant trend in conditions of subsiding activity. It is in this range that the pair has been moving f....
46
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for August 17 - 21, 2020
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for August 17 - 21, 2020
First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. Citing data from the Labor Department, optimists say that the U.S. economic recovery is gaining momentum. The pandemic-stricken labour market is beginning to recover and may have already overcome the worst stage of the crisis. Unemployment in July fel....
26
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for August 03 - 07, 2020
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for August 03 - 07, 2020
First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. The U.S. economy is not just in recession. It's flying down at a breakneck speed. The decline in US GDP in the second quarter was the largest ever recorded - minus 32.9%. The reasons for this fall are well known - these are quarantine measures caused ....
44
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for July 27 - 31, 2020
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for July 27 - 31, 2020
First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. The USA does not bring good news to the markets. Escalating tensions between Beijing and Washington, rising jobless claims, and the ongoing COVID-19 offensive frighten investors, raising doubts about the imminent recovery of the American economy. The ....
13
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for July 20 - 24, 2020
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for July 20 - 24, 2020
First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. Relations between Beijing and Washington continue to heat up, the onslaught on coronavirus goes with great difficulty. 1.3 million people applied for primary unemployment benefits last week in the United States. For more than 17.3 million it was not t....
23
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for July 13 - 17, 2020
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for July 13 - 17, 2020
First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. The dollar is slowly weakening, the pair moved above Pivot Point 1.1240 last week, but is still within the five-week channel 1.1170-1.1350. As expected by 25% of experts, the bulls made an attempt to reach the level of 1.1400, but their attack choked ....
38
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for July 06 - 10, 2020
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for July 06 - 10, 2020
First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD.  The latest US employment data is not just optimistic, but over-optimistic: approximately 4.8 million people returned to work in June. The unemployment rate fell from 13.3% to 11.1% - the best increase in employment outside the agricultural sector sin....
13
Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for June 22-26, 2020
Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for June 22-26, 2020
First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. The Financial Times reported in a recent article that analysts began to have problems as Forex stopped responding to fundamental factors as before. Against the backdrop of uncertainty in global financial markets, investor risk moods dominate, which ar....
30
Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for June 15-19, 2020
Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for June 15-19, 2020
First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. If someone thought that the United States won COVID-19, they were mistaken. The number of people infected with coronavirus is growing in 21 states, with new highs recorded in 14 of them. Anti-racist demonstrations in the country are likely to further ....
29
Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for May 04 - 08, 2020
Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for May 04 - 08, 2020
First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. Macro indicators paint a completely non-rosy picture of the state of the global economy. However, things in Europe look much worse than in the United States. The European economy has sagged at a record 3.8% in history over the previous quarter and 14.....
13
Forex, Cryptocurrencies, Stocks. Forecast for April 27- May 01, 2020
Forex, Cryptocurrencies, Stocks. Forecast for April 27- May 01, 2020
First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. While in the United States, decisions to allocate money to revive the economy are made quickly enough, in the Euro Zone this is a process that requires a long discussion and agreement between the participating countries. And this can not but put press....
62
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for April 20 - 24, 2020
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for April 20 - 24, 2020
First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. The number of applications for unemployment benefits in the United States has amounted to 22 million over the past four weeks. For comparison, this figure remained at the level of about 930 thousand in the previous few years. In other words, the unemp....
98
Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrency Forecast for March 30 - April 03, 2020
Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrency Forecast for March 30 - April 03, 2020
First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. The pair's flights in recent weeks can be compared to aerobatics: first, an almost vertical takeoff up by 630 points, then a vertical peak by 860, and now a new leap up by 445 points. Several factors caused the sharp drop in the dollar. The main one i....
19
Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for March 23 - 27, 2020
Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for March 23 - 27, 2020
First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. The coronavirus pandemic continues to drive global markets. The oil wars between Saudi Arabia and Russia, which, of course, do not do without the active intervention of the United States, add to the nervousness. This country, whose shale oil is anothe....
51
Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for March 02 - 06, 2020
Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for March 02 - 06, 2020
First, a review of last week’s events: EUR/USD. The situation in the financial markets is completely under the control of the coronavirus for many weeks in the run. And if many traders in 2019 complained about the lowest volatility of the EUR/USD pair in the history of its existence, the situation ....
9
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