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Forex Analysis for USD/TRY

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Fundamental analysis: 3 events to trade
Fundamental analysis: 3 events to trade
The upcoming days are going to contain lots of important economic events. Let’s go through them together in order to prepare for profitable trading. RBNZ Official Cash Rate & Rate Statement When: Wednesday, June 26 Instruments to trade: NZD/USD, NZD/JPY, AUD/NZD According to the consensus forec...
11
Elections in Turkey: can they fix the TRY?
Elections in Turkey: can they fix the TRY?
On Friday, USD/TRY rose to its last October’s highs above the 5.82 level. Such a dramatic drop of the Turkish lira raised concerns about the instability of the Turkish economy once again. With many political and economic uncertainties in the country, we may just wonder whether the local elections on...
8
EURUSD Trying to Get BalancedMarket Review, 22/03/2019
22.03.2019The major currency pair is looking for a way to get stabilized, while the greenback followers are trying to recover after the Fed meeting tensions. The EURUSD is currently trading at around 1.1382.Quite a few PMI and business reports are being released today in the afternoon, covering the ...
0
USD/TRY is looking for patterns
USD/TRY is looking for patterns
Trade ideas SELL 5.30; TP 5.2685; SL 5.3150 SELL 5.2380; TP 5.2230; SL 1.2430 USD/TRY has been trying to recover since the end of January. The pair formed a higher low. What we see on the chart may be a forming harmonic “Bat” pattern. It means that USD/TRY may continue higher, to 5.3040 to complete ...
0
Check USD/TRY
Check USD/TRY
Trade idea BUY 5.3750; TP 5.41; SL 5.3580 SELL 5.3040; TP 5.2345; SL 5.33 USD/TRY has moved sharply down this week falling to the support line since the end of November. Consolidation is now taking place between the 100- and 200-day MA on H4. On D1, the pair’s around 50-day MA at 5.3280. It’s possi...
7
How about USD/TRY?
How about USD/TRY?
Trade ideas SELL 5.28; TP 5.19; SL 5.31 BUY 5.37; TP 5.50; SL 5.34 This week’s problem is that many pairs have already made big moves and yet we know that there will be a news trigger later today as the US releases the Nonfarm Payrolls data at 15:30 MT time. It looks like USD/TRY has some potential ...
5
Why is the Turkish lira crawling?
Why is the Turkish lira  crawling?
The beginning of the month was quite eventful for the Turkish lira. However, this week it started to lose its volatility. What is happening? The Turkish lira started to gain its momentum during the first week of November. It was supported by the higher-than-expected level of manufacturing PMI at 44...
13
USD/TRY: calm before the storm?
USD/TRY: calm before the storm?
The consumer inflation in Turkey increased to 24.5% in September - the highest level since August 2003. Producer prices increased by 46.2% as well. The reason for it lies in existing currency crisis and the US sanctions against two Turkish diplomats. However, it seems like the Turkish lira has react...
3
Global macro overview for 21/08/2018
Global macro overview for 21/08/2018
On Monday, the 13th of August, Turks woke up with a course of lira at the level of 7 per dollar, it became clear that the current policy in combating the crisis did not pass the exam. The joint actions undertaken by the government and the Turkish central bank at that time allowed the campaign to sto...
8
Global macro overview for 21/08/2018
Global macro overview for 21/08/2018
The dollar has accepted the punch from Trump and the corrective developments dictate the conditions on the main currency pairs. The Asian stock market is "enjoying" the disruption of USD domination; similarly, in the commodity market, the valuation in the American currency is adjusted.The American p...
3
Trading plan for 20/08/2018
Trading plan for 20/08/2018
Today's session should be rather calm because apart from the publication of the PPI index in Germany, the global investors will not get any important macroeconomic data. In the calendar, however, we will find scheduled speeches by several central bankers, but no president, so markets will hardly att...
2
Trading plan for 15/08/2018
Trading plan for 15/08/2018
Both European and American stock market investors ended yesterday in minor moods. Today the situation looks a bit different. In Europe, we watched the mixed closing of the trading session. The growth was made by companies from Belgium, Poland and Hungary, while declines were recorded on the French, ...
1
Trading plan for 13/08/2018
Trading plan for 13/08/2018
On Monday, the 13th of August 2018, the event calendar is light in important data releases, only Gross Domestic Product data form Italy is to be posted. No scheduled speeches as well. Holiday season at its peak.USD/TRY analysis for 13/08/2018:The crisis in Turkey is a bad sign for the entire global ...
1
Trading plan for 10/08/2018
Trading plan for 10/08/2018
EUR/USD broke through 1.15 and the activation of stop-loss orders pushed the rate to 1.1438. The drop is probably related to the continued sale-off of the Turkish lira - today USD/TRY jumped another 3.0% up to 5,7450.The Financial Times article is in the center of global investors attention, accordi...
4
Global macro overview for 15/08/2018
Global macro overview for 15/08/2018
Moscow is still interested in trading with Ankara using the Russian ruble and Turkish lira. Both currencies fell compared to the US dollar, and TRY sets new records every day."The issue of using national currencies in interstate commerce is a topic which the Russian side has been dealing with for a ...
2
Global macro overview for 14/08/2018
Global macro overview for 14/08/2018
Speeches of the Turkish president are in the last days at high risk for the TRY course. It was no different today. Speaking today in the early afternoon in Ankara, the leader was broadly referring to economic issues. The tone in which Erdogan speaks is still warlike: "We can do two things, one in th...
4
Global macro overview for 13/08/2018
Global macro overview for 13/08/2018
In the statement released this morning, the Turkish monetary authorities have announced the announcement of several activities that have one goal - to calm the situation around the domestic banking system and restore confidence in the lira. The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey announced, among...
3
Global macro overview for 15/08/2018
Global macro overview for 15/08/2018
Moscow is still interested in trading with Ankara using the Russian ruble and Turkish lira. Both currencies fell compared to the US dollar, and TRY sets new records every day."The issue of using national currencies in interstate commerce is a topic which the Russian side has been dealing with for a ...
1
Trading plan for 15/08/2018
Trading plan for 15/08/2018
Both European and American stock market investors ended yesterday in minor moods. Today the situation looks a bit different. In Europe, we watched the mixed closing of the trading session. The growth was made by companies from Belgium, Poland and Hungary, while declines were recorded on the French, ...
3
Global macro overview for 14/08/2018
Global macro overview for 14/08/2018
Speeches of the Turkish president are in the last days at high risk for the TRY course. It was no different today. Speaking today in the early afternoon in Ankara, the leader was broadly referring to economic issues. The tone in which Erdogan speaks is still warlike: "We can do two things, one in th...
4
Global macro overview for 13/08/2018
Global macro overview for 13/08/2018
In the statement released this morning, the Turkish monetary authorities have announced the announcement of several activities that have one goal - to calm the situation around the domestic banking system and restore confidence in the lira. The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey announced, among...
5
Will Turkish lira keep falling?
Will Turkish lira keep falling?
USD/TRY opened the week with the gap up and rose to a new record high abive 7.00. The lira made another leap down as Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said on Sunday that he was against interest rate increases and that Turkey is in an “economic war.” He also claimed that an agreement with the I...
6
Trading plan for 13/08/2018
Trading plan for 13/08/2018
On Monday, the 13th of August 2018, the event calendar is light in important data releases, only Gross Domestic Product data form Italy is to be posted. No scheduled speeches as well. Holiday season at its peak.USD/TRY analysis for 13/08/2018:The crisis in Turkey is a bad sign for the entire global ...
6
Trading plan for 10/08/2018
Trading plan for 10/08/2018
EUR/USD broke through 1.15 and the activation of stop-loss orders pushed the rate to 1.1438. The drop is probably related to the continued sale-off of the Turkish lira - today USD/TRY jumped another 3.0% up to 5,7450.The Financial Times article is in the center of global investors attention, accordi...
2
Global macro overview for 25/07/2018
The Central Bank of Turkey contrary to popular belief of market participants did not raise interest rates by 100 bp. The increase was fully discounted, so its lack was a huge shock. The justification was the slowdown in economic growth, the already high-interest rate (17.75%) and the conviction that...
2
Re-election of Mr. Erdogan: will the lira strengthen?
Re-election of Mr. Erdogan: will the lira strengthen?
The fall of the Turkish lira has been continuing for a long time. For the first time, the Turkish currency significantly plunged in July 2016 after the coup attempt. Foreign investment flows strongly declined and the rate of the lira fell against all major currencies as the government started repres...
1
USD/TRY ending a bearish cycle, will resume the bullish bias?
USD/TRY ending a bearish cycle, will resume the bullish bias?
We have been seeing a huge action in the price of the USD/TRY pair across the board, after the measures taken by the Turkish Central Bank and the government by itself. Following the strong decline of TRY, finally we’re observing a corrective move in the US dollar against the Turkish currency, now tr...
2
Global macro overview for 29/05/2018
Global macro overview for 29/05/2018
The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey decided on a long-awaited reform of interest rates, adapting to global standards. From 1 June 2018, the existing interest rates will be replaced by a standard known from major central banks. The reference rate - in case of Turkey, the interest rate on weekl...
1
Global macro overview for 24/05/2018
Global macro overview for 24/05/2018
On Wednesday, the Turkish central bank raised its rate known as the Late Liquidity Window (LLW) by 3 pp. Previously, it was 13.5%, from today it is 16.5%. Other rates remained unchanged. The decision was taken during an extraordinary meeting convened in connection with the worrying developments in T...
5
What is happening with the Turkish lira?
What is happening with the Turkish lira?
Turkish lira made a spectacular decline during the recent trading days. USD/TRY came close to 5.00. It looks like it will be the worst month for the Turkish currency since the global financial crisis of 2008. Since the start of 2018, TRY fell by more than 20% versus the US dollar. Notice that the li...
3
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