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Fed Expected to Keep Rates Steady in May
Eurozone Q1 GDP initial readings (YoY and QoQ) will be released at 10:00 BST today, followed by the US Markit Services and Composite PMIs (Apr) at 14:45 BST, the US non-manufacturing PMI (Apr) at 15:00 BST and the FOMC interest rate decision at 19:00 BST. The crucial US non-manufacturing PMI and ma...
13
Will Eurozone Q1 GDP Show a Healthy Recovery ?
The UK and the Eurozone Markit Manufacturing PMI for April will be released today at 09:30 BST. German Unemployment rate and Unemployment change for April will be released at 08:55 BST Wednesday May 3. It will be followed by the Eurozone Q1 GDP initial readings (YoY and QoQ) at 10:00 BST. The Germa...
9
Markets mixed following averted shutdown of US Congress
Global equities rose with U.S. futures, fixed income retreated and JPY weakened as a tentative deal by the U.S. Congress to avert a government shutdown overshadowed weaker economic data from China and the U.S. over the past few days. Per Republican and democratic aides, the U.S. House and Senate neg...
10
Will US Q1 GDP Growth Show a Slowdown ?
There are two crucial GDP figures to be released today; UK Q1 GDP initial reading will be released at 09:30 BST, followed by the US Q1 GDP annualized initial reading, Q1 PCE and Q1 core PCE inflation figures (QoQ) at 13:30 BST. This will be the first US GDP figure reported after Trump took office. ...
8
Trump’s Tax Reform Plan Could Lead To Rising Deficit
US Treasury Secretary Mnuchin announced Trump’s tax reform plan in a press conference yesterday; the biggest tax reform plan since 1986. Trump has proposed slashing corporate tax from the current rate of 35% to 15%; from one of the highest in the world to one of the lowest. In terms of personal inc...
8
Corporate Earnings Lift US Stocks Ahead of Trump’s Tax Reform Plan
Last week the US President Trump stated on twitter that he will unveil his major tax reform plan on Wednesday April 26. Trump intends to dramatically cut corporate tax from the current rate of 35% to 15%, and will likely make tax exemption on US corporate overseas earnings. After the failure of his ...
4
Global Equities Up, Oil & Yen Weaken
Following the somewhat centrist victory in the first round of the French Presidential Elections global markets appear to be have gained some risk appetite back with Asian equities reaching a near 2 year high on Tuesday. The election also helped lift EUR and put downward pressure on safe-haven instru...
2
Market Concerns Eased After Macron’s First Round Victory
The first-round voting of the French presidential election was revealed on Sunday night April 23. The two top candidates: independent centrist Macron and the far-right wing Le Pen, won 23.7% and 21.7% of votes respectively. Fillion and the far-left wing Jean-Luc Mélenchon both got around 19% of vote...
7
All Eyes on the First-Round Voting of the French Election
The first round voting of the French election will be held this Sunday April 23. The market consensus is that the Centrist Macron and the far-right wing Le Pen would likely get into the second round, then Macron would likely win the final vote. The most embarrassing situation is that the far-right ...
4
France’s and EU Future, Far-Right ? Far-Left ?
After recent news and market headlines were dominated by the UK snap general election announcement, the markets are now turning their attention towards the upcoming French presidential election. The outcome of the French presidential election will most likely result in heightened volatility for the ...
6
Snap General Election Breathes Life into the Pound
Yesterday morning, the UK Prime Minister Theresa May kick started a day of GBP volatility after her shock decision to call a snap general election for June 10th. Although the Conservative Party currently holds the majority in parliament, recent polling numbers have suggested that they will increase ...
2
Investors Turn to Safe Havens on Rising Regional Tensions
Recent US military actions, such as the airstrike in Syria, the movement of an aircraft carrier strike group toward the Korean Peninsula and the dropping of “the mother of all bombs” on ISIS in Afghanistan has led to rising tensions amongst some of the world superpowers. The rising regional tension...
4
Dollar Plunged on Trump’s Second Dollar Overly Strong Statement
The dollar index fell to a 2-week low of 99.10 in the early hours this morning, breaking the significant support level at 100.00. The dollar index plunged 0.58% on Wednesday April 12, and 0.88% in the past three days. The sudden fall was caused by Trump’s dollar overly strong statement for the secon...
4
UK Retail Sales Fall on Rising Inflation and Slow Wage Growth
UK labour market data for March will be released at 09:30 BST including claimant count, ILO unemployment rate (from Dec to Feb) and average earnings (from Dec to Feb). The data will likely affect the strength of GBP and GBP crosses. Bank of England Gorvernor Carney will make a speech at 09:30 BST t...
7
How will UK Inflation and Labour Market Data Affect GBP ?
This morning at 09:30 BST will see the release of a series of UK inflation data for March including; CPI, core CPI, PPI and core PPI. It will likely cause volatility for GBP and GBP crosses. GBP/USD is currently trading above the psychological level at 1.2400. The German ZEW economic sentiment and ...
11
USD Rallies as Unemployment Rate Hits a 10-Year Low
Last Friday, the US non-farm payrolls for March rose by only 98K, which was far below expectations of 180K, marking the lowest growth since May 2016. In addition, the previous figure was revised downwardly from 235K to 219K. The average hourly earnings also underperformed, fell by 0.1% to 2.7% in Ma...
3
Will Non-Farm Payrolls Lift USD ?
US non-farm payroll and unemployment for March will be released this Friday at 13:30 BST. In the past three days the dollar index has been oscillating in a range between 100.30 – 100.65 with the price edging up during the morning European session today. Please note that the release of US labour mar...
3
Markets Eye on the First Trump-Xi Meeting
US President Trump and Chinese president Xi Jinping, are scheduled to meet today at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida. This is the first meeting between the leaders of the two biggest economies in the world so markets will be looking for any comments made between these 2 world leaders. There are...
5
How Will US ISM Data and FOMC Minutes Affect USD ?
The dollar index hit a 3-week high of 100.59 yesterday. However, it pulled back after testing the near-term major resistance at 100.50. It currently holds above the support level at 100.30. The crucial US ISM figure will be released this afternoon at 15:00 BST; the non-manufacturing PMI (Mar). This ...
6
Dollar Gains Ahead of Trump-Xi Meeting
US President Trump and the Chinese president Xi Jinping, are scheduled to meet in Trump’s Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida, this Thursday April 6. There are some sensitive issues between the US and China, such as trade protectionism, currency manipulation, South China Sea claims and North Korea’s nucle...
6
How will the French Presidential Election affect the EU and Euro ?
The first round of the French presidential election will be held on April 23 with the second round on May 7. The forecast for the first-round vote for the three candidates: Le Pen, Macron and Fillion are 25.8%, 25.1% and 18.4% respectively. The chances for Macron and Le Peng getting into the second-...
5


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