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Fundamental analysis of USD/JPY

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Coronavirus is on the offensive again, threatening to halt the global economic recovery; Overview of USD, CAD, and JPY
Relevance up to 08:00 2020-07-10 UTC+2 The increase in reports of rising new cases of coronavirus infection casts doubt on the near recovery of the global economy to the start of the year levels and increases overall uncertainty. As a result, the stock indices of most countries went into the "red"....
13
USD/JPY. Apathetic yen and passive dollar: coronavirus rules the ball again
Relevance up to 19:00 UTC+2 The dollar/yen pair continues to trade within the 107th figure, where it has been since the end of June. The Japanese currency ignores its own fundamental factors and poorly reacts to the external fundamental background, while the greenback demonstrates a passive posit....
1
Non-farm payrolls: the forecasts
Non-farm payrolls: the forecasts
The first Thursday of the month is going to be an unusual one, as the United States releases Non-farm payrolls at 15:30 MT time. The American Bureau of Labor Statistics moved the date of the monthly update on employment due to holidays in the United States. Previous results Last month, US job data s...
13
Dollar continues to be strongly dependent on COVID-19 (data on employment in the US is expected to be published)
Relevance up to 06:00 2020-07-04 UTC+2 Everything is still the same in the currency market. Nothing special happens, as investors simply do not show noticeable activity due to conflicting, mutually exclusive factors that are still not going away.First of all, this, of course, is the situation arou....
4
USD/JPY is approaching key resistance
USD/JPY is approaching key resistance
If the pair crosses this level, it will surge further, otherwise – reverse. Check it out. Fundamental factors The Japanese data came worse than analysts expected. Unemployment rate turned out 2.9%, while the forecast was 2.8%. Also, the industrial production contracted by 8.4%, while only the 5.6% s...
19
The Yen finally gave up. Overview for 30.06.2020
30.06.2020USDJPY continues rising on Tuesday; demand for the Yen dropped. On Tuesday, the Japanese Yen continues retreating against the USD. The current quote for the instrument is 107.71.The statistics published in the morning showed that the Unemployment Rate in Japan went up from 2.6% in April to...
9
China supported weak positivity, but is it enough to resume growth? Overview of USD, CAD, and JPY
Relevance up to 08:00 UTC+2 Stock indexes of the Asia-Pacific countries are growing steadily on Tuesday morning, the growth is supported by positive data from China. The PMI in the manufacturing sector rose to 50.9p, which turned out to be better than expected, while the growth in the services sec....
27
What will wake up yen?
Long-term review Unlike most other G10 currencies, which are sensitive to the dynamics of US stock indices, the Japanese yen preferred a peaceful sleep in June. For two decades in a row, the USD/JPY pair stubbornly refused to leave the narrow trading range of 106-107.5, which should have excluded ....
8
Investors are looking forward to the publication of new data on the US economy (continued consolidation of EUR/USD and USD/JPY pairs is expected)
Relevance up to 06:00 UTC+2 The end of the month showed how sharply the mood of investors can change under the influence of an external factor – coronavirus infection.If the month started on the wave of markets continuing to play the topic of opening the economies of economically developed countri....
10
USD/JPY. Korean Peninsula's detente; Yen has lost its trump card for growth
Relevance up to 12:00 2020-06-25 UTC+2 The Japanese currency is as volatile as the external fundamental background. The yen, paired with the dollar, can not determine the vector of its movement over the past few weeks. The USD/JPY pair fluctuates within the range of 106.00-107.10, although recent....
5
The Yen is looking strong. Overview for 24.06.2020
24.06.2020In the middle of the week, USDJPY is correcting upwards but the Yen is looking quite energetic. The Japanese Yen is slightly falling against the USD on Wednesday. The current quote for the instrument is 106.59.The statistics published by Japan in the morning were rather minor and didn’t ha...
2
Trump reassured markets, but not enough;Overview of USD, CAD, and JPY
Relevance up to 08:00 2020-06-25 UTC+2 European stock indexes closed in the red zone after Trump's trade adviser, Peter Navarro stated that the US president intends to break the trade deal with China due to assumptions about Chinese origin of coronavirus. A little later, Trump himself denied this ....
6
Investors continue to believe that the global economy will recover, which will lead to dollar's future depreciation (local growth of EUR/USD and USD/JPY pairs is likely)
Relevance up to 07:00 2020-06-24 UTC+2 The currency market remains extremely "boring" in the wake of the continuing influence of the likelihood of a second wave of coronavirus infection. In any case, this topic is exaggerated in the media and supported by active statements by WHO. These cautious m....
5
USD / JPY: Conflicting statistics and troubling news from the Korean Peninsula
USD / JPY: Conflicting statistics and troubling news from the Korean Peninsula
Relevance up to 19:00 UTC+2 Today's publication on inflation in Japan is mixed. General consumer price index came out at a forecasted level, repeating the trajectory in April (the indicator also turned out to be around 0.1% in May), while the consumer price index excluding fresh food prices was in....
2
USD/JPY. BOJ's unnoticed meeting, weak yen, and uncertain dollar
USD/JPY. BOJ's unnoticed meeting, weak yen, and uncertain dollar
Relevance up to 09:00 2020-06-18 UTC+2 The yen completely ignored the results of the Bank of Japan's next meeting. The subsequent comments by Haruhiko Kuroda aroused more lively interest among traders, but in general, the June meeting of the Japanese regulator went unnoticed. This is not surprisin....
16
Investors are cautiously optimistic allowing the dollar to consolidate (further consolidation of AUD/USD and USD/JPY pairs is expected)
Investors are cautiously optimistic allowing the dollar to consolidate (further consolidation of AUD/USD and USD/JPY pairs is expected)
Relevance up to 07:00 2020-06-18 UTC+2 The Fed's unexpected decision to expand measures to support the national economy before the threat of a wider and prolonged recession has blown optimism again into the sails of optimism of risky assets and highly profitable currencies.The Fed said it will beg....
11
Trump's administration has prepared another trillion to support the falling infrastructure; Overview of USD, CAD, and JPY
Trump's administration has prepared another trillion to support the falling infrastructure; Overview of USD, CAD, and JPY
Relevance up to 08:00 2020-06-19 UTC+2 US stock indices showed an impressive growth again on Tuesday in response to a stronger-than-expected retail sales report in May. Growth amounted to 17.7% with a forecast of 8%, and the markets regarded this result as a direct indication that consumer spendi....
11
Dollar may strengthen before Fed's final decision on monetary policy (a corrective decline in the EUR/USD and USD/JPY pairs is likely)
Dollar may strengthen before Fed's final decision on monetary policy (a corrective decline in the EUR/USD and USD/JPY pairs is likely)
Relevance up to 07:00 2020-06-11 UTC+2 The dynamics of the currency market is still strongly linked to the behavior of the stock market and partly of the commodity and raw materials market, which fully confirms the argument that their multi-directional movement is promising, at least in the short-....
20
JPY is gaining against USD
Yesterday morning the Japan’s GDP for the second quarter was released. It was slightly worse than analysts expected: -0.6% versus -0.5%. On the whole, that data proved that Japan fell into recession as it experienced two straight quarters of contraction. While US and most European countries switched...
14
Strong Nonfarm payrolls and fundamental weakness of US dollar. Review of CAD and JPY
Strong Nonfarm payrolls and fundamental weakness of US dollar. Review of CAD and JPY
Relevance up to 08:00 2020-06-10 UTC+2 The United States delivered an unexpectedly strong labor market report. The number of jobs rose by 2.509 million (forecast -8 million). Unemployment fell to 13.3% from 14.7%, while the labor force participation rate and the average work week increased.The mar....
8
Nonfarm payrolls: greenback's short-lived growth
Nonfarm payrolls: greenback's short-lived growth
Relevance up to 07:00 2020-06-09 UTC+2 Friday's Nonfarm payrolls were able to stall the decline in the dollar index. However, they did not provoke the US dollar rally. Generally speaking, such a market reaction was expected as traders react coolly to positive macroeconomic reports from the United ....
5
USD/JPY. It has its own atmosphere: the pair is growing despite the general weakening of the dollar
USD/JPY. It has its own atmosphere: the pair is growing despite the general weakening of the dollar
Relevance up to 09:00 2020-06-06 UTC+2 The USD/JPY pair is one of the few dollar pairs and certainly the only one among the major group of currency pairs that demonstrates an illogical behavior: the pair is steadily growing against the backdrop of a general weakening dollar, reflecting the greenb....
17
USD/CAD. Stephen Poloz's last meeting: Bank of Canada did not let the CAD sink
USD/CAD. Stephen Poloz's last meeting: Bank of Canada did not let the CAD sink
Relevance up to 10:00 2020-06-05 UTC+2 The Canadian dollar, paired with the US currency, has strengthened by 500 points over the past two weeks. If we consider a wider time range, we can talk about the 1000-point strengthening of the "loonie", which was trading at the level of the 45th figure in m....
10
Interest for risk assets remains. Traders ignore negative news. Outlook for CAD and JPY
Interest for risk assets remains. Traders ignore negative news. Outlook for CAD and JPY
Relevance up to 09:00 2020-06-04 UTC+2 Market participants are actively ignoring negative news. The main news is that the state-owned enterprises in China were ordered to stop purchasing some US agricultural products, in particular soybeans. This, of course, escalates tension between China and th....
12
USD/JPY. US-China Conflict, Berlin Mediation, and U.S. Riots
USD/JPY. US-China Conflict, Berlin Mediation, and U.S. Riots
Relevance up to 07:00 2020-06-03 UTC+2 Traders of the USD/JPY pair ignored the general weakening of the US currency, which was observed at the start of the new trading week. Despite the fact that other pairs of the major group showed increased volatility yesterday, the yen still fluctuates within....
8
The Yen is strengthening. Overview for 29.05.2020
29.05.2020On Friday morning, USDJPY is falling; investors are buying “safe haven” assets. The Japanese Yen is getting stronger against the USD at the end of the week. The current quote for the instrument is 107.11.The statistics published by Japan in the morning were rather mixed. The labor market l...
16
USD/JPY. Helpless yen and passive dollar
USD/JPY. Helpless yen and passive dollar
Relevance up to 19:00 UTC+2 The yen continues to trade in a narrow price range against the dollar, despite the rapid news flow. The international scandal surrounding Hong Kong, the mutual threats of Washington and Beijing, the decline in oil prices, additional incentives from the Japanese authori....
11
The Yen continues retreating. Overview for 26.05.2020
26.05.2020On Tuesday morning, USDJPY continues the momentum but the horizon is quite hazy.The Japanese Yen is falling against the USD amid low demand for “safe haven” assets. The current quote for the instrument is 107.83.The statistics published in the morning showed that the SPPI added 1.0% y/y in...
8
The yen forced the dollar to fight
The yen forced the dollar to fight
Long-term review Stability – a sign of class. Although the strengthening of the Japanese yen against the US dollar since the beginning of the year looks modest, nevertheless, the USD/JPY pair closed in the red zone each of the past four months in 2020. This circumstance increases the confidence of....
13
End of pandemic will not help the real economy; Overview of CAD and JPY
End of pandemic will not help the real economy; Overview of CAD and JPY
Relevance up to 10:00 2020-05-27 UTC+2 Monday is a holiday for banks in the United States and the United Kingdom; moreover, macroeconomic data are not expected to be published, which is likely to lead to a decline in activity and trade in the rangeThe coronavirus pandemic has fulfilled its role. N....
14
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