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Fundamental analysis of USD/CNH

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Forex forecasts 2021
The year-end is getting closer. What will 2021 bring us? Let’s find out what major banks expect! USD: down and down and down Most analysts predict the further falling of the US dollar during the next year. The consensus is the decline by 5-10% against most currencies. There are two main reasons for ...
53
China’s exports hit record high
China’s exports hit record high
What happened? China published the better-than-expected trade balance, signaling the country’s steady recovery. The trade surplus surged to 75.4 billion dollars, while the forecast was 53.8 billion dollars. It was the largest monthly increase in the whole history of China! The strong trade growth ca...
13
US election: tips to trade on
The highly-anticipated event – the US election is today! We already know that the outcome will affect the market, but what exactly do you need to do during that day? Let us introduce you to the trading tips for the upcoming election! Below, you can see several simple steps to consider before trading...
7
Biden’s victory will drive yuan up
Biden’s victory will drive yuan up
The US-Chinese relationship has been tense amid Trump’s governance, but if Biden wins, the situation may change. Let’s find out what it means for the Chinese yuan. What happened? The presidential candidate Joe Biden claimed that current tariffs for Chinese goods are too high and need to be decreased...
12
Chinese yuan dropped after dire inflation data
Chinese yuan dropped after dire inflation data
USD/CNH has been steadily dipping, but downbeat China’s PPI and CPI limit the further falling. What happened? Chinese Producer and Consumer Price Indices came out worse than analysts anticipated: CPI rose by 1.7% vs. the forecast of 1.9%, whereas PPI contracted by 2.1% vs. the -1.9% expected. The Pe...
9
USD/CNH: back to 2019
USD/CNH: back to 2019
The risk-on sentiment started this week has moved potentially risky investments, such as emergency market currencies, the AUD, the NZD, and the CNH, higher against the American safe-haven – the US dollar. Currently, the Chinese yuan is focusing on the levels of spring 2019. Should we expect further ...
7
USD/CNH is dipping down for six weeks
USD/CNH is dipping down for six weeks
The Chinese yuan gained after the better-than-expected data. Today early at the morning China’s Caixin Manufacturing PMI came out 53.1, beating estimates of 52.6. The optimistic numbers have proved that the world’s second largest economy is steadily recovering from the virus slump. Notably, the pair...
13
USD/CNH: falling down
USD/CNH: falling down
The pair has broken down two strong supports. What’s next? Fundamentals The US dollar is loosening against the Chinese yuan. There are some obvious reasons for that movement. The first reason is the weak US dollar as the USA is suffering from the record resurgence in new cases. Investors are questio...
19
Optimistic forecasts for China’s recovery
Optimistic forecasts for China’s recovery
China was the first country that entered the coronavirus crisis, that’s why it should be the first out. However, the recent resurgence of new infections in Beijing made some investors worry about the second round of downturn. Today new virus cases decreased sharply. Let’s see how economists changed ...
7
USD: doomsday looming?
USD: doomsday looming?
Below the surface Whenever there is a slightest wind blow in the economic environment, investors run for safety and end up with piles of the USD in hand. The world is used to perceive the US dollar as a universal safe haven and doesn’t seem to doubt the reliability of the American currency in this s...
7
USD/CNH: mid-term outlook
USD/CNH: mid-term outlook
Fundamentals Recently, the US announced that flights from China will be suspended starting June 16. This is another step down in the relations between the US and China, and the trend doesn’t seem optimistic currently. What are the implications for the USD/CNH? As the world’s reserve currency, the US...
4
USD: the outlook from Hong-Kong
USD: the outlook from Hong-Kong
Breaking it down Geographically, managing Hong-Kong is a sovereign matter of China. Historically, it became a global issue since the British Empire took over this important city in the XIX century. During the entire XX century, it has been in possession by the British under lease agreement serving t...
4
Coronavirus and markets: where the connection is
Coronavirus and markets: where the connection is
Currently, more and more analysts talk about the impact of the coronavirus on the financial markets. You saw such headlines as “coronavirus is pushing up gold and Japanese yen” or “Asian stocks are down due to the spread of the virus”. Have you thought why global markets react to the non-economic ev...
73
Your guide to trading the US-China trade war
Your guide to trading the US-China trade war
All eyes on December 15 December 15 is an important deadline: on this date, the US authorities scheduled to impose the new tariffs on Chinese goods. That is a major reason for the remaining global economic tension. Below we will examine why it is so, what the consequences for the global market are a...
17
Trader Morning Coffee 29/11_what you need to know
Relevance up to 08:00 2019-11-30 UTC+1 Good morning everybody,Thanksgiving Day has passed and American futures are fractionally down since yesterday's shortened and low-volume session (-0.2 / 0.3% on average).We woke up with Germany's retail sales disappointing (0.8% ag 1.3% expected Y/Y, -1.9% m/....
7
August on Forex: hot & cold
August on Forex: hot & cold
A trader always needs perspective. From time to time, it’s necessary to take a broad look at the market and outline the main events, trends, risks, and opportunities. In the article below, FBS analysts have gathered the key info about the main currency pairs. We hope that this analysis will make you...
48
Fundamental analysis: 3 events to trade
Fundamental analysis: 3 events to trade
The upcoming days are going to contain lots of important economic events. Let’s go through them together in order to prepare for profitable trading. RBNZ Official Cash Rate & Rate Statement When: Wednesday, June 26 Instruments to trade: NZD/USD, NZD/JPY, AUD/NZD According to the consensus forec...
44
Short the CNH?
“Those who speculate and short the yuan will for sure suffer heavy loss.” - said Xiao Yuanqi, the spokesman for China’s Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission (CBIRC). Moreover, Mr. Yuanqi declared that higher US tariffs even if they reach the maximum level, will have a “very limited” impact on...
4
Chinese yuan: close to the crucial level
Chinese yuan: close to the crucial level
The Chinese yuan has lost a lot since trade war tensions started escalating. However, not only the trade war has been affecting the currency but the strengthening of the USD. During this year, the Chinese yuan has become one of the worst performing Asian currencies. It has depreciated more than 9% a...
11
The CNH: any chances to recover?
The CNH: any chances to recover?
Asian currency market suffers tough times. Trade war tensions that started in January 2018 are supposed to keep going. The US and China are two major players in the tariff game. While this game seems to be positive for the US dollar, the Chinese yuan is loosing. The depreciation of the CNH is enormo...
11
What’s wrong with the Chinese yuan?
What’s wrong with the Chinese yuan?
The Chinese yuan continues to depreciate. In the past two weeks, the Chinese currency has declined by 5%. On June 3, the yuan declined to lows of August 2017. The reason for such a strong fall is concerns that tariffs between US and China can turn into a real trade war. On July 6, the US president D...
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