Fundamental analysis of NZD/USD

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Global macro overview for 10/08/2018
Global macro overview for 10/08/2018
NZD/USD is the lowest since March 2016 after the RBNZ yesterday gave a clear justification for such a reaction. We were given a downward revision of the growth forecast, a reduced path for the OCR rate (forecast for an increase postponed by half a year for the third quarter of 2020), and the scenari...
0
Fundamental Analysis of NZD/USD for August 9, 2018
Fundamental Analysis of NZD/USD for August 9, 2018
NZD/USD is currently quite impulsive with the bearish momentum which is expected to lead the price towards 0.65 in the coming days. Despite the unchanged economic reports, the dovish nature of the Monetary Policy and Rate statement made NZD lose certain momentum against USD which is expected to lead...
0
Global macro overview for 09/08/2018
Global macro overview for 09/08/2018
The global investors were not surprised by today's RBNZ decision on interest rates. As expected, it remained at 1.75%. However, the forecasts for next year have been reduced. By the end of 2019, the base rate is to be at 1.8% (previously expected 1.9%). This means that the rate hike path will be del...
1
Global macro overview for 01/08/2018
Global macro overview for 01/08/2018
New Zealand job market data were better than expected, but the Unemployment Rate rose 0.1%pt to 4.5%, due to slightly higher labor force participation. The participation rate was broadly flat at the high level of 70.9%. That, plus a 0.5% q/q increase in the working-age population, means labor demand...
1
NZD vs markets: who is the winner?
It’s not a secret that the New Zealand dollar has been suffering a lot. Although the economic indicators are encouraging, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is prophesizing difficult times for the currency. Moreover, the below-target inflation, weak wage growth, and world economic challenges weigh on t...
1
Is the NZD under real risk?
Is the NZD  under real risk?
The downward trend of the New Zealand dollar started in the middle of April 2018 and has been continuing until current days. This week the NZD/USD pair reached lows of May 2016. Strengthening US dollar, weak economic data and trade war tensions weigh on the currency. According to the Bank of New Zea...
1
Fundamental Analysis of NZD/USD for May 11, 2018
Fundamental Analysis of NZD/USD for May 11, 2018
NZD/USD has been in non-volatile impulsive bearish pressure recently which was intervened with an impulsive bullish pressure yesterday, leading to certain bearish rejection in the daily candle. The recent weak USD economic reports lead to certain impulsive bullish pressure in the pair, whereas today...
1
Global macro overview for 09/05/2018
Global macro overview for 09/05/2018
Recently, the global investors have been able to observe the dynamic decreases in the NZD/USD currency pair. The decreases were mainly caused by the strengthening US dollar, which brought the price around local support located in the price region of 0.6950.However, the current trend may be reversed ...
1
Fundamental Analysis of NZD/USD for May 4, 2018
Fundamental Analysis of NZD/USD for May 4, 2018
NZD/USD has been quite impulsive, following the bearish trajectory since it broke below 0.7150 support area with a daily close. After the impulsive break below the area, the pair lacks bullish pressure to make the price retrace higher towards 0.7150 area.NZD has been quite positive amid the recent e...
0
The growth of Treasury yields is supported by the dollar
The growth of Treasury yields is supported by the dollar
The weakening of the US dollar on Tuesday turned out to be temporary. The jump in yields of government bonds of the US Treasury is supporting it. Yesterday, the benchmark yield of the 10-year Treasury overcame an important psychological level of 3.0%, and although it corrected downwards by the end o...
1
Fundamental Analysis of NZD/USD for April 13, 2018
Fundamental Analysis of NZD/USD for April 13, 2018
NZD/USD has been impulsive and non-volatile with bullish gains which are expected to proceed higher in the coming days. USD has been struggling with the gains against NZD due to recent downbeat high impact economic reports which made the NZD sustain its gains despite mixed economic reports from New ...
1
Fundamental Analysis of NZD/USD for March 30, 2018
Fundamental Analysis of NZD/USD for March 30, 2018
NZD/USD has been quite impulsive with the bullish gains recently, after breaking below the 0.7250 price area with an impulsive bearish pressure. Recently, due to the mixed economic reports of USD, NZD managed to gain some momentum in the volatile bearish trend which might lead to certain correction ...
0
RBNZ changes : how will the NZD react?
RBNZ changes : how will the NZD react?
Some changes are coming in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand. Tomorrow a new Governor, Adrian Orr, will take the office. However, today he has already signed a new Policy Targets Agreement (PTA). The new PTA differs from the previous ones with one important point. The bank will slightly shift its focu...
3
Fundamental Analysis of NZD/USD for March 26, 2018
Fundamental Analysis of NZD/USD for March 26, 2018
NZD/USD is currently quite impulsive amid the bullish pressure which created extreme volatility after the recent break above the 0.7250 price area, broken recently as a support. Ahead of the ANZ Business Confidence this week which is one of the main indicator of economic health, NZD is quite strong ...
0
Fundamental Analysis of NZD/USD for March 22, 2018
Fundamental Analysis of NZD/USD for March 22, 2018
NZD/USD has been quite impulsive with the bullish momentum recently. The pair failed to keep momentum, having rejected off the 0.7250 resistance area today. In light of yesterday's funds rate hike, USD confounded traders' expectations and weakened that led the price higher towards 0.7250. At present...
1
Fundamental Analysis of NZD/USD for March 2, 2018
Fundamental Analysis of NZD/USD for March 2, 2018
NZD/USD has recently rejected off the 0.7260 price area with a daily candle which is expected to push the price much lower in the coming days. Recently NZD has been quite positive with the economic reports which helped the currency to gain impulsive momentum against USD in a strong bearish trend sin...
0
The demand for the Japanese yen will only increase
The demand for the Japanese yen will only increase
The Japanese yen ignored data on consumer price growth in Japan that spoke of the serious demand for the yen from the big players against the backdrop of the latest serious shocks in the stock and currency markets, forcing investors to return to safe-haven assets.It should be noted that the Central ...
0
Fundamental Analysis of NZD/USD for February 22, 2018
Fundamental Analysis of NZD/USD for February 22, 2018
NZD/USD found support at the dynamic level of 20 EMA today which is expected to push the price higher in the coming days. New Zealand published mixed economic reports whereas the market sentiment favours USD ahead of the possible rate hike in March. Recently, New Zealand's PPI Input report was publi...
1
Fundamental Analysis of NZD/USD for February 16, 2018
Fundamental Analysis of NZD/USD for February 16, 2018
NZD/USD has been quite impulsive with the bullish gains recently which has lead the price to retest and reject off the 0.7450 resistance area. NZD has been quite positive with the economic reports this week while USD was struggling with the mixed economic reports. Recently, Inflation Expectation rep...
1
Positions of the US dollar have increased significantly
Positions of the US dollar have increased significantly
The US dollar received significant support on the basis of trading early Wednesday thanks to the speech of members of the Fed Kaplan, Dudley, and Williams. However, the markets paid no attention to the words of Evans who had dovish sentiments.Yesterday, in the comments of the head of the Federal Res...
1
Global macro overview for 07/02/2018
Global macro overview for 07/02/2018
There is no sign that the RBNZ, which will publish its monetary policy report today, will need to tighten its monetary policy soon. Prospects for economic growth remain good, but inflation still needs no reaction from the bank.Unemployment has been falling gradually for more than five years, from cl...
1
Fundamental Analysis of NZD/USD for February 7, 2018
Fundamental Analysis of NZD/USD for February 7, 2018
NZD/USD has been quite impulsive with the bullish gains after bouncing off the support area of 0.7250 recently. The price has been quite impulsive with the bearish pressure after the positive USD Employment Change report was published on Friday but as expected the bearish pressure lasted for a certa...
1
All attention to US data
All attention to US data
Despite the good figures for consumer confidence in New Zealand, the New Zealand dollar fell strongly against the US dollar in the first half of the day. Traders closed long positions before the release of important US data.According to the report of ANZ-Roy Morgan, the consumer confidence index in ...
0
Fundamental Analysis of NZD/USD for February 2, 2018
Fundamental Analysis of NZD/USD for February 2, 2018
NZD/USD is currently residing inside a corrective and volatile structure above 0.73 area with no definite trend momentum in the market. USD has been quite weaker in the comparison since the December Interest Rate hike which still affects the gains in the market. Today a number of high impact economi...
1
Fundamental Analysis of NZD/USD for January 12, 2018
Fundamental Analysis of NZD/USD for January 12, 2018
NZD/USD has been quite impulsive with bullish gains, leading the price to move up towards 0.7260. Due to recent USD weakness after the interest rate hike by the US Fed last month, NZD gained good momentum which is still being sustained pretty well. Today, New Zealand Building Consents report was pub...
1
NZD/USD: kiwi has a vertigo
NZD/USD: kiwi has a vertigo
Recommendation: SELL 0.7075 SL 0.7130 TP 0.6965 On the daily NZD/USD chart, buyers managed to return the pair to the long-term uptrend channel. This creates grounds for the bullish trend’s resumption. In addition, reaching of 88.6% target increases the risks of the transformation of the “Shark” patt...
1
Fundamental Analysis of NZDUSD for January 5, 2018
Fundamental Analysis of NZDUSD for January 5, 2018
NZD has been quite positive with the economic reports this week which reflected the impulsive gains against USD this week, leading the price to the 0.7150 resistance area recently. This week NZD GDT Price report was published with a significant increase to 2.2% from the previous negative value of -3...
1
Fundamental Analysis of NZD/USD for December 28, 2017
Fundamental Analysis of NZD/USD for December 28, 2017
NZD/USD has broken above the 0.7050 resistance area recently which led to creating a new higher high in the process. NZD has been quite strong with the gains recently amid temporary weakness in USD due to recent downbeat economic reports and conditions. Today, US Unemployment Claims report was publi...
1
Disagreements in Congress weigh on the dollar
Disagreements in Congress weigh on the dollar
The US dollar continued to decline against the European currency and other risky assets at Tuesday's trading amid disagreements that existed under the tax reform, as well as on the bill on government spending.On Tuesday evening, the law on a new tax reform was adopted by the House of Representatives...
1
Fundamental Analysis of NZD/USD for December 15, 2017
Fundamental Analysis of NZD/USD for December 15, 2017
NZD/USD is currently residing inside the resistance area of 0.6980 to 0.7050 after an impulsive bullish pressure off the 0.68 support area. Despite the federal funds rate increase to 1.50% from 1.25%, the market shaped the opposite sentiment that has led to a further gain on the NZD side recently. T...
1
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