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Fundamental analysis of GBP/USD

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The US Dollar Strikes Back
The US Dollar Strikes Back
The European currency fell strongly against the US dollar against the background of profit taking after a sharp upward trend, which could be observed throughout the week.The absence of important fundamental data on the eurozone economy, apart from a number of statements by rating agencies, also forc...
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Global macro overview for 16/02/2018
Global macro overview for 16/02/2018
The UK Retail Sales With Auto Fuel released this morning has been worse than market expectations. The global investors expected an increase of 0.5% after a -1.4% drop last month, but the numbers revealed were at the level of 0.1% only. Moreover, on a yearly basis, the figures increased only from 1.5...
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Beautiful Friday chord
Beautiful Friday chord
EUR/USD, GBP/USDOn Thursday, investors compared the trade balances of the eurozone and the US, and, of course, the comparison was in favor of the eurozone. The trade balance data of the euro area for December published yesterday showed an increase from 22.0 billion euros to 23.8 billion euros. Last ...
1
The dollar has good reasons to turn up
The dollar has good reasons to turn up
As a result of Wednesday, the US dollar collapsed against all major currencies. What's very strange is this happened against the background of positive data on consumer inflation in the US which showed growth in monthly terms while annual values showed a continued growth rate.According to the data p...
1
The Pound was supported by the statistics. Overview for 13.02.2018
13.02.2018GBPUSD has found support and right now is trying to recover based on the inflation report.The British Pound is growing against the USD on Tuesday. The current quote for the instrument is 1.3902.In the afternoon, the United Kingdom published several macroeconomic reports. First of all, inve...
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Optimism is increasing
Optimism is increasing
EUR/USD, GBP/USDThe first day of the week in the markets went quietly. Stock indexes began to recover and alongside the appetite for risk diverged across other sectors. The American S&P 500 increased by 1.39%, the British FTSE 100 by 1.19%, the European Euro Stoxx 50 with 1.50%. The euro added 4...
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Fundamental Analysis of GBP/USD for February 13, 2018
Fundamental Analysis of GBP/USD for February 13, 2018
GBP/USD has recently broken the support area of 1.3850-1.3950 which has turned as a resistance area now. The market flow has been quite slow and corrective after breaking below the support and is expected to proceed lower in the coming days. GBP having unchanged after Official Bank Rates and Hawkish...
0
The pound plays the role of a pendulum
The pound plays the role of a pendulum
The British pound swept the roller coaster, first taking off significantly above an important psychological value of $1.4 mark against the backdrop of the Bank of England's "hawkish" comments followed by a collapse below $1.39 due to the growing risks of the tough Brexit negotiations. According to t...
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Weekly review of the currency market from 12.02.2018
The dollar finally rose in price, which is largely due to panic on the stock exchanges. The fall of stock indices is usually accompanied by the strengthening of the dollar. In fact, not only American indices fall. Investors close their positions and withdraw money, and a well-known proverb says that...
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Global macro overview for 09/02/2018
Global macro overview for 09/02/2018
The Bank of England has unanimously voted to keep rates on hold, but it caught markets off-guard with its surprisingly bullish outlook for the economy and interest rates. The statement indicated that interest rates may be raised earlier and faster than expected in November forecasts. BoE sees three ...
1
Looking forward to break the dollar
Looking forward to break the dollar
The dollar was able to correct its position a little, but today, the probability of a stop is high. The single European currency may even strengthen slightly against the background of data on wholesale stocks.As expected, the Bank of England left the refinancing rate unchanged. Most importantly, the...
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The Pound is regaining strengths. Overview for 08.02.2018
08.02.2018On Thursday, GBPUSD is trading upwards; the Bank of England decided not to increase the key rate.The British Pound is rising against the USD on Thursday. The current quote for the instrument is 1.3991.Today’s meeting of the Bank of England was over without any surprises. The benchmark rate...
3
Global macro overview for 08/02/2018
Global macro overview for 08/02/2018
Recent macroeconomic data show that the UK economy follows global trends and no signs of uncertainty around Brexit clearly weighing on the mood of consumers and business. The final estimate of GDP for the second quarter was increased to 0.5% q/q, and the first readings for the fourth quarter at 0.4%...
1
Positions of the US dollar have increased significantly
Positions of the US dollar have increased significantly
The US dollar received significant support on the basis of trading early Wednesday thanks to the speech of members of the Fed Kaplan, Dudley, and Williams. However, the markets paid no attention to the words of Evans who had dovish sentiments.Yesterday, in the comments of the head of the Federal Res...
1
The Pound is still being sold. Overview for 07.02.2018
07.02.2018GBPUSD remains under pressure; the NIESR report didn’t impress investors.The British Pound continues weakening against the USD on Wednesday. The current quote for the instrument is 1.3887.Earlier today, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) published an updated rep...
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Fundamental Analysis of GBP/USD for February 7, 2018
Fundamental Analysis of GBP/USD for February 7, 2018
GBP/USD has recently rejected off the 1.3850-1.3950 area with a daily close which is currently expected to proceed higher in the coming days. USD has been quite dominant this week over GBP, which was a result of the positive Employment Change report published without any change in Unemployment Rate....
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The dollar grows on the background of the sale of shares in the US
The dollar grows on the background of the sale of shares in the US
It seems that the long period of growth of shares in the US ends with its collapse. While the effect of panic is not observed, the process of sales will still increase. Once this happens, then the panic definitely will not be avoided.Against the backdrop of the recent release, as well as the strong ...
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The pound falls against the background of poor data on the service sector
The pound falls against the background of poor data on the service sector
The European currency ignored good data on the composite PMI index of the eurozone but the British pound fell strongly against the US dollar in the first half of the day, after a weak report on the service sector.According to the data, the growth rate of activity in the service sector of Germany for...
1
Global macro overview for 05/02/2018
Global macro overview for 05/02/2018
In the beginning of the week, market attention will be focused on central bank meetings. On Tuesday, the decision on the level of money costs will be taken by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), which, according to the market consensus, should maintain the main interest rate at the level of 1.5%. O...
1
The dollar is given another chance
The dollar is given another chance
The dollar still fails to consolidate, and the US statistics is to blame for this. On the one hand, the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits decreased from 231,000 to 230,000, although they were waiting for growth to 238,000. However, the number of repeated applications increased...
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Does the pound have chances for further strengthening?
Does the pound have chances for further strengthening?
The pound rose from 1.35 versus the US dollar at the start of the year to 1.4345 on January 25. Then there was a pullback down, but starting from Wednesday, January 31, GBP/USD once again headed up. As a result, British currency showed in January its best monthly performance since May 2009. The ris...
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Negative data from the eurozone will put pressure on the euro
Negative data from the eurozone will put pressure on the euro
After a noticeable weakening of the US dollar at the end of the past year and at the beginning of 2018, the market is now showing a mood of uncertainty. The incoming contradictory data of economic statistics as well as statements by officials again force investors to wait.The data on the eurozone's ...
1
The dollar does not yet have the conditions for global growth
The dollar does not yet have the conditions for global growth
The US dollar began to rise against the main currencies on a wave of several factors. On one hand, there is the noticeable technical oversoldness as an objective. On the other hand, the market is waiting for new signals that could confirm the movement from soft to hard of the monetary policy exchang...
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Fundamental Analysis of GBP/USD for January 30, 2018
Fundamental Analysis of GBP/USD for January 30, 2018
GBP/USD is currently showing some bearish pressure after bouncing off the 1.4350 resistance area recently with a daily close. GBP has been the dominant currency in the pair having positive economic reports which helped the currency to gain impulsive momentum over USD during its struggling period. Ah...
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The dollar seems to continue its decline
The dollar seems to continue its decline
In the foreign exchange market, the U.S. dollar finished the week in a negative territory relative to all major currencies on the large Forex market. Such dynamics are primarily determined by the growth of expectations that central banks have to raise their monetary rates on the wave of noticeable g...
0
Global macro overview for 26/01/2018
Global macro overview for 26/01/2018
The fourth quarter UK GDP data has beaten the market expectations as economic growth came in at the level of 0.5% while he market participants expected a 0.4% advance only. However, the estimate put growth for the whole of 2017 at 1.8%, lower than the previous year's figure of 1.9%. The Office for N...
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The dollar will remain under pressure
The dollar will remain under pressure
The dollar will remain under pressureThe US dollar remains under strong pressure for several reasons which are of a fundamental nature and are likely to last at least until the end of the first quarter.The first reason is the obvious desire of D. Trump for protectionism in the US economy, which clea...
1
Fundamental Analysis of GBP/USD for January 23, 2018
Fundamental Analysis of GBP/USD for January 23, 2018
GBP/USD has recently broken above the 1.3950 resistance area with a daily close, while being in a non-volatile bullish trend where USD failed to put an impact for some retracement in the process. The UK has been doing quite well with economic reports despite political and Brexit headwinds. On the ot...
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The Central Bank of Japan passes the baton of the ECB
The Central Bank of Japan passes the baton of the ECB
As a result of the meeting of the Japanese Central Bank, nothing new has happened. Markets hoped that the regulator would continue the idea of reducing the volume of asset purchases, as announced earlier this year. But that did not happen. The bank left the previous course of monetary policy unchang...
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Weekly review of the foreign exchange market on January 22, 2018
The dollar continued to lose its position in all days of last week although at a slower pace. It made attempts to grow but only in respect with the ruble did it manage to improve its position a little. The rest are purely symbolically.The pace of industrial production in the US accelerated from 3.5%...
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