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Forecasts and analysis from Admiral Markets

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The EUR/USD broke above 1.1000 – a target of around 1.1200/50 activated
Source: Economic Events May 29, 2020 - Admiral Markets' Forex Calendar Despite the stable performance in 10-year US yields over the last few days, the EUR/USD saw a break above 1.1000. The main driver for the bullishness was the announcement of the EU commission, proposing a 750 Billion Euro fiscal ...
9
Gold bulls still in charge, but is a short-term correction coming?
Source: Economic Events May 27, 2020 - Admiral Markets' Forex Calendar Gold remains bullish after pushing to new yearly highs last week. Nevertheless, the short-term (and the technical bearish divergence in the RSI(14) on a daily time-frame) catches our interest, making us believe that a stint in th...
14
Foreign exchange market continued consolidation
There were no major changes in the currency market last week. The U.S. dollar depreciated in the first half, but regained some of its lost positions in recent days. The bad news continued to dominate the market last week, with addition of car rental giant Hertz to the list of retailers in restructur...
12
DAX30 bulls losing steam, but still in charge of the action – for now
Source: Economic Events May 25, 2020 - Admiral Markets' Forex Calendar While the start into the week will probably be a bit slow in Equities given the US bank holiday "Memorial Day" (modified trading hours for Monday, May 25 can be found here), it still makes a lot of sense to give the DAX30 a close...
7
EUR/USD about to re-capture 1.1000 – 1.1200 to come?
Source: Economic Events May 22, 2020 - Admiral Markets' Forex Calendar While the economic calendar is quite thin for the weekly close, and market participants may expect forex volatility to be subdued in expectation of the upcoming US bank holiday next Monday, the EUR/USD faces an extremely interest...
10
Gold with new yearly Highs on Monday – new all-time highs ahead?
Source: Economic Events May 20, 2020 - Admiral Markets' Forex Calendar Gold bulls made a clear statement at the start of the week by pushing the precious metal to new yearly highs. Nevertheless, technically the bearish divergence in the RSI(14) on a daily time-frame is still on the table. So, while ...
13
The U.S. dollar has risen to the upper boundary of the trading channel
Flow of negative news continued last week as U.S. consumption shrank significantly, recession was recorded in Germany, and political tensions between the U.S. and China continued to rise as Donald Trump threatened to cut ties between nations.USDEconomic indicators in the U.S. remained poor. The numb...
19
DAX30 can hold crucial support around 10,200 – at least for now…
Source: Economic Events May 18, 2020 - Admiral Markets' Forex Calendar The DAX30 ended last week on a little roller coaster. After a sharp drop last Thursday, where the German index attacked the region around 10,200 points. It can hold that level, thanks to massive support and a sharp bounce in US E...
8
The EUR/USD surprisingly stable after the GCC ruling – 1.0900 for the weekly close?
Source: Economic Events May 15, 2020 - Admiral Markets' Forex Calendar The performance of the Euro against the US dollar has surprised us a little over the last few days. It has been stable, with a bullish touch, after the German Constitutional Court ruling on May 5. A quick recap: the German Consti...
20
Gold traders to focus on Powell’s testimony on Wednesday
Source: Economic Events May 13, 2020 - Admiral Markets' Forex Calendar Gold has generally been stable over the last days, trading around 1,700 USD.That may surprise, given the fact that US economic data sets from the labour market came in at "catastrophic" levels with the ADP printing at -20.2 milli...
23
Data in the global economy deteriorated further
Consolidation sentiment continued to dominate markets last week as investors prepared for important economic data, as data has reflected the results for March and in part for the first weeks of April, and the data was mostly very weak. So far, the global economy is showing no signs of recovery and i...
24
Bulls regain control: DAX30 back on its way to 11,000 points
Source: Economic Events May 8, 2020 - Admiral Markets' Forex Calendar The DAX30 shrugged off the initial shock of Tuesday's German Constitutional Court's ruling last Tuesday, deciding that some ECB actions in regards to asset purchases regarding the QE are unconstitutional and thus not valid in Germ...
10
After a horrific ADP: will NFP’s push the USD/JPY towards 105.00?
Source: Economic Events May 8, 2020 - Admiral Markets' Forex CalendarOn Friday, the eyes of traders around the world will be certainly on the Non-Farm Payrolls or NFP's. That is particularly true, as after Wednesday's ADP data showed that private businesses in the US fired 20.2 million workers in Ap...
21
ADP expected at -20 million on Wednesday – Gold with new yearly highs?
Source: Economic Events May 6, 2020 - Admiral Markets' Forex Calendar On Wednesday, Gold traders will watch the ADP employment change in excitement. After ADP data dropped to -27,000 in March, showing the first fall in private payrolls since September of 2017 with the report only including data thro...
16
U.S. dollar corrected to a 1-month low
Last week, investors in the foreign exchange market withdrew from the U.S. dollar segment and the reserve world currency adjusted to a 1-month low. This position was fueled by both poor U.S. economic data and the very mild tone of the country's central bank due to further monetary policy.USDThe Fede...
9
Disappointing ECB pushes the DAX30 back below 11,000 – further losses to come?
Source: Economic Events May 4, 2020 - Admiral Markets' Forex Calendar After German DAX30 saw a short stint back above 11,000 points, it saw a sharp decline at the end of the last week of trading. In fact, the bullish performance surprised us, given the US GDP data indicating shrinkage by an annualiz...
13
Gold traders carefully watching the US GDP and Fed on Wednesday
Source: Economic Events April 29, 2020 - Admiral Markets' Forex Calendar When looking at Gold, the overall picture hasn't changed. The precious metal continues to trade around 1,700 USD, even though it has technically picked up with a slight bearish touch from the bearish divergence in the RSI(14) o...
28
Currencies consolidated before March data
Last week, investors were waiting for economic news representing March, thus market moves were rather muted. In the next couple of weeks, number of important economic data pieces will be announced, which will reflect activity through the lockdown period. Until now, most of the news reflected situati...
9
The DAX30 remains technically neutral, but the fundamental horizon darkens
Source: Economic Events April 27, 2020 - Admiral Markets' Forex Calendar The DAX30 CFD has surprised over the last few days of trading with a relatively stable performance. This is surprising because of developments in oil markets. The May contract settled at -37.63 USD/BBL last Monday, but the fail...
16
The USD/JPY is still above 107, but dropping US yields keeps the bearish pressure high
Source: Economic Events April 24, 2020 - Admiral Markets' Forex Calendar Despite recent volatility in global oil markets, volatility in forex markets remained relatively low, particularly in the USD/JPY. In fact, it seems unlikely that this will change given the pretty thin economic calendar leading...
19
Gold finally has a corrective move – but still clearly bullish
Source: Economic Events April 22, 2020 - Admiral Markets' Forex Calendar After Gold pushed above 1,700 USD for the first time since 2012, marking new yearly highs, the precious metal is now seeing a correction, even though the overall bullish picture hasn't substantially changed. A potential technic...
18
U.S. dollar remained in consolidation range
Last week, the news and economic data did not promise much in the way of positivity, but the market reacted to it quite passively and remained in a consolidation range. The International Monetary Fund has updated its forecast for the global economy, which expects a -3% fall in 2020, which will be th...
22
DAX rallies around Gilead Corona-treatment drug news – sustainable?
Source: Economic Events April 20, 2020 - Admiral Markets' Forex Calendar The DAX30 had a solid weekly close, avoiding a drop below 10,000 points. The reason for the gains on Friday was the news that Gilead Sciences is making progress in finding a treatment for Coronavirus patient, reporting that a C...
9
EUR/USD gaining more bearish momentum from the disappointing inflation data?
Source: Economic Events April 17, 2020 - Admiral Markets' Forex Calendar The mode in the Euro, and here in the EUR/USD, remains choppy. But after a very weak performance on Wednesday, it has picked up a bearish touch. The failed attempt to recapture 1.1000 send already a message to Euro bulls, but a...
14
US Retail Sales to print at an all-time low – Gold with new bullish momentum?
Source: Economic Events April 15, 2020 - Admiral Markets' Forex Calendar The picture in Gold hasn't changed over the last week, and while we still consider the situation to be tense, the push above 1,700 USD on Monday is a clearly bullish sign. Technically, the mode stays bullish as long as we trade...
29
The U.S. dollar consolidated
Investor sentiment was mixed last week, leading to consolidation in financial markets. News of the coronavirus remained rather negative, but in some states, changing trends in a positive direction were recorded, which sparked optimism among some investors.In the epicentres of the virus in Europe, It...
14
The USD/JPY enters a bearish short-term season – is 105.00 a target?
Source: Economic Events April 13, 2020 - Admiral Markets' Forex Calendar After high volatility in Treasury and FX markets over the last weeks, the Easter weekend gives traders some air to breathe. Still, the picture in the USD/JPY looks fairly interesting: technically, the currency pair made back so...
11
Gold stays bullish in the long-term, but with sell-off potential in the short-term
Source: Economic Events April 8, 2020 - Admiral Markets' Forex Calendar The technical picture in Gold stays tense. After finding a (short-term) bottom around 1,440/450 USD, and then pushing back above 1,600 USD in response the massive monetary stimulus from the Fed on March 23, the precious metal dr...
28
Investors returned to the dollar as a safe haven asset
Last week, economic data continued to deteriorate and hinted at a deepening global crisis, prompting investors to look for safe-haven instruments and buy U.S. dollars. The global economy remained stagnant as the coronavirus spread rapidly in major economies. The number of infections rose particularl...
27
DAX30 less volatile over the last few days – the calm before the bears?
Source: Economic Events April 6, 2020 - Admiral Markets' Forex Calendar While the economic calendar is very thin for the start of the week, the picture for the DAX30 CFD nevertheless stays very interesting, and has the potential to see strong moves in either direction. While we consider the DAX30 CF...
8
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