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Fundamental Analysis By Daniel John Grady Last updated Apr 16, 2024 Oil price has had something of an anticlimactic evolution lately. But that hasn’t stopped various brokers and analysts from upgrading their expectations for crude this year. Heading into the busy summer demand season, it’s .....

Fundamental Analysis By Daniel John Grady On Apr 15, 2024 The UK will be releasing a series of key economic data over the course of this week that could substantially rile up cable as investors count down the weeks to when the BOE might cut rates. Evidently inflation will be the focus for i.....

Fundamental Analysis By Daniel John Grady On Apr 12, 2024 Tuesday’s release of the Q1 GDP figures from China are seen as a bellwether for the global economy. By extension, that could affect most of the major currencies as investors try to pre-position ahead of potential economic shifts thro.....

Fundamental Analysis By Daniel John Grady Last updated Apr 11, 2024 UK Normalization Means GBPUSD Going Up? Tomorrow is the release of key economic figures from the UK which is expected to show a continuation of the diverging trend in the data lately. While the economy has shown to be impro.....

Fundamental Analysis By Daniel John Grady On Apr 10, 2024 The markets are getting set up for a fairly predictable outcome for the ECB meeting. The most recent comments from members of the monetary policy-setting committee have largely reflected market expectations. Which means that if the E.....

Fundamental Analysis By Daniel John Grady On Apr 9, 2024 Markets have been under performing lately, which has been a boon for the dollar. The main reason is that the chances of a rate hike at the June Fed meeting have been receding. There is still a majority of traders who expectMarket awai.....

Fundamental Analysis By Daniel John Grady On Apr 8, 2024 The New Zealand central bank meets on Wednesday, at the tail end of the recent cycle of policy meetings in which the tone has generally been to hold on for one more month. It seems that trend will continue with the RBNZ rate meeting a.....

Fundamental Analysis By Daniel John Grady On Apr 5, 2024 Geopolitics is pushing the price of crude higher, leaving behind analysts’ predictions that the price of “black gold” would remain subdued this quarter. Overnight, the price of Brent jumped above $90/bbl, after weeks of progressive ga.....

Fundamental Analysis By Daniel John Grady On Apr 4, 2024 Markets are looking forward to Friday’s barrage of labor statistics from the US, including the US March NFP, with a certain amount of trepidation. That’s because economic data coming out so far this week has generally pointed to a mor.....

Fundamental Analysis By Daniel John Grady On Apr 3, 2024 When the BOJ raised rates last month, it was natural to presume that the yen would get stronger, reflecting expectations for Yen strength in response to interest rate hikes. That’s what normally happens to currencies when interest rat.....

Fundamental Analysis By Daniel John Grady On Apr 2, 2024 Tomorrow sees the release of preliminary CPI figures from the Eurozone for the month of March. Typically the figure is not revised much for the final result, so the market generally takes its cue from the first look at the data. Also,.....

Fundamental Analysis By Daniel John Grady On Mar 27, 2024 Tomorrow’s release of final GDP figures from the US and the UK are not expected to have a major impact on the markets, but they illustrate a trend that has been weighing on Cable. Depending on how the data goes, that trend could be i.....

Fundamental Analysis By Daniel John Grady On Mar 26, 2024 Crude prices have become increasingly harder to predict, particularly in the medium- to long-term. Analysts have made a series of miscalculations about supply and demand, which has left some traders wondering if new models will be ne.....

Fundamental Analysis By Daniel John Grady On Mar 25, 2024 US Durable Goods: Room to Keep Rates High? The markets and the Fed seem to finally be aligning around what will happen with rates this year. But that doesn’t mean the data will come in in a way that will match those predictions. Infl.....

Fundamental Analysis By Daniel John Grady On Mar 22, 2024 Wednesday’s Fed decision effectively kept everything in place, which was largely interpreted by the market as dovish. Particularly Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s post-rate decision pressure. Sure, there were media headlines about the long.....

Fundamental Analysis By Daniel John Grady On Mar 21, 2024 Yesterday’s inflation data from the UK came in as a bit of a surprise, causing the markets to swing as traders parsed the data. The initial reaction was to the larger drop in inflation than expected, with CPI going down to the lowest.....

Fundamental Analysis By Daniel John Grady On Mar 20, 2024 Investors will be keenly watching tomorrow’s release of Major Flash PMI figures because they could give some important clues as to where monetary policy is going. That might shake up the currency markets as the newest data available .....

Fundamental Analysis By Daniel John Grady On Mar 19, 2024 There are a lot of expectations ahead of the conclusion of the FOMC meeting which concludes tomorrow. Not because there is much chance of a change in policy. But investors are going to be really keen to go through the statement with .....

Fundamental Analysis By Daniel John Grady On Mar 18, 2024 The BOJ Could Finally End Negative Rates Tomorrow There is a lot of anticipation ahead of the BOJ policy meeting to be held early tomorrow (or late tonight, depending on where in the globe you’re located). The yen has strengthened su.....

Fundamental Analysis By Daniel John Grady On Mar 15, 2024 The Reserve Bank of Australia is among the plethora of central banks holding RBA policy decisions next week, but that doesn’t mean it will be lost in the crowd. Australia has been facing the fallout of China’s slow economic recovery,.....

Fundamental Analysis By Daniel John Grady On Mar 14, 2024 WTI price recently popped above the $80/bbl once again. This time it was a more convincing move that could suggest the price is solidly back to November levels. The move higher came in the wake of the US Department of Energy reportin.....

Fundamental Analysis By Daniel John Grady On Mar 13, 2024 US economic markets could be in for a surprise soon. There is this little-tracked phenomenon that is providing a warning sign around US economic risk appetite. The reason it has been ignored is that for so long there hasn’t been anyt.....

Fundamental Analysis By Daniel John Grady On Mar 12, 2024 There is likely to be extra focus on the UK’s monthly GDP figures this time around. That’s because the Q4 GDP reading was preliminary, and could be revised. Recall that there was a surprise downturn in the final quarter of last year,.....

Fundamental Analysis By Daniel John Grady On Mar 11, 2024 Tomorrow’s release of US CPI Preview is likely the most anticipated macroeconomic event of the week. It comes just as Fed officials are going into their pre-rate decision blackout period. Meaning that there won’t be an opportunity fo.....

Fundamental Analysis By Daniel John Grady On Mar 8, 2024 The price of gold has rocketed higher all this month, marking a significant trend in gold price activity. That’s great news for gold bulls, but after such a meteoric rise, what about a correction? And after that, will it resume its up.....

Fundamental Analysis By Daniel John Grady On Mar 7, 2024 There is a lot riding on tomorrow’s US February NFP report, as the labor market has become central for forecasts of where the Fed will go with rates this year. The dollar has been firming up the last few months as the market keeps pai.....

Fundamental Analysis By Daniel John Grady On Mar 6, 2024 The ECB Preview is generating significant anticipation ahead of the monetary policy meeting tomorrow. The market has grown increasingly antsy about when the shared central bank is going to finally move towards easing. While analysts a.....

Fundamental Analysis By Daniel John Grady Last updated Mar 5, 2024 Despite the recent string of disappointing data out of Canada, The BOC is largely expected to keep policy unchanged at its meeting tomorrow, reflecting the cautious approach to BOC monetary policy in response to recent econo.....

Fundamental Analysis By Daniel John Grady On Mar 4, 2024 On Friday, the main conclusion from the series of Manufacturing PMIs was that key economies of the world weren’t as bad off as expected. China’s official NBS survey was slightly below expectations, but that was compensated for by the .....

Fundamental Analysis By Orbex On Mar 4, 2024 Get ready to trade the NFP Live webinar on 8-3-2024 with our leading experts! Join our resident US market specialists, David Kindley and Daniel John Grady for an exclusive live webinar on the upcoming Non-farm Payrolls release, on March 8th, 2024.....